Fight Finance

Question 18  DDM, income and capital returns

The following equation is the Dividend Discount Model, also known as the 'Gordon Growth Model' or the 'Perpetuity with growth' equation.

### p_{0} = \frac{c_1}{r_{\text{eff}} - g_{\text{eff}}} ###

What is the discount rate '## r_\text{eff} ##' in this equation?

(a) The expected total return of the stock.

(b) The expected capital return of the stock.

(c) The expected dividend return of the stock.

(d) The expected income return of the stock.

(e) The expected growth rate of the stock price.

Question 161  DDM

A share just paid its semi-annual dividend of $10. The dividend is expected to grow at 2% every 6 months forever. This 2% growth rate is an effective 6 month rate. Therefore the next dividend will be $10.20 in six months. The required return of the stock 10% pa, given as an effective annual rate.

What is the price of the share now?

(a) $127.50

(b) $171.14

(c) $173.33

(d) $174.56

(e) $354.06

Question 169  NPV, DDM

A stock is expected to pay the following dividends:

Cash Flows of a Stock
Time (yrs)	0	1	2	3	4	...
Dividend ($)	8	8	8	20	8	...

After year 4, the dividend will grow in perpetuity at 4% pa. The required return on the stock is 10% pa. Both the growth rate and required return are given as effective annual rates. Note that the $8 dividend at time zero is about to be paid tonight.

What is the current price of the stock?

(a) 170.24

(b) 141.09

(c) 137.09

(d) 131.62

(e) 127.98

Question 282  expected and historical returns, income and capital returns

You're the boss of an investment bank's equities research team. Your five analysts are each trying to find the expected total return over the next year of shares in a mining company. The mining firm:

• Is regarded as a mature company since it's quite stable in size and was floated around 30 years ago. It is not a high-growth company;
• Share price is very sensitive to changes in the price of the market portfolio, economic growth, the exchange rate and commodities prices. Due to this, its standard deviation of total returns is much higher than that of the market index;
• Experienced tough times in the last 10 years due to unexpected falls in commodity prices.
• Shares are traded in an active liquid market.

Your team of analysts present their findings, and everyone has different views. While there's no definitive true answer, whose calculation of the expected total return is the most plausible? Assume that:

• The analysts' source data is correct and true, but their inferences might be wrong;
• All returns and yields are given as effective annual nominal rates.

(a) Alice says 5% pa since she calculated that this was the average total yield on government bonds over the last 10 years. She says that this is also the expected total yield implied by current prices on one year government bonds.

(b) Bob says 4% pa since he calculated that this was the average total return on the mining stock over the last 10 years.

(c) Cate says 3% pa since she calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share price over the last 10 years.

(d) Dave says 6% pa since he calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share market price index (not the accumulation index) over the last 10 years.

(e) Eve says 15% pa since she calculated that this was the discount rate implied by the dividend discount model using the current share price, forecast dividend in one year and a 3% growth rate in dividends thereafter, which is the expected long term inflation rate.

Question 395  real option, option

The cheapest mobile phones available tend to be those that are 'locked' into a cell phone operator's network. Locked phones can not be used with other cell phone operators' networks.

Locked mobile phones are cheaper than unlocked phones because the locked-in network operator helps create a monopoly by:

(a) Destroying customers' expansion option.

(b) Destroying customers' abandonment option.

(c) Destroying customers' timing (or delaying) option.

(d) Destroying customers' production (or switching) option.

(e) Growing customers' binomial tree.

Question 404  income and capital returns, real estate

One and a half years ago Frank bought a house for $600,000. Now it's worth only $500,000, based on recent similar sales in the area.

The expected total return on Frank's residential property is 7% pa.

He rents his house out for $1,600 per month, paid in advance. Every 12 months he plans to increase the rental payments.

The present value of 12 months of rental payments is $18,617.27.

The future value of 12 months of rental payments one year in the future is $19,920.48.

What is the expected annual rental yield of the property? Ignore the costs of renting such as maintenance, real estate agent fees and so on.

(a) 3.1029%

(b) 3.3201%

(c) 3.7235%

(d) 3.9841%

(e) 7%

Question 467  book and market values

Which of the following statements about book and market equity is NOT correct?

(a) The market value of equity of a listed company's common stock is equal to the number of common shares multiplied by the share price.

(b) The book value of equity is the sum of contributed equity, retained profits and reserves.

(c) A company's book value of equity is recorded in its income statement, also known as the 'profit and loss' or the 'statement of financial performance'.

(d) A new company's market value of equity equals its book value of equity the moment that its shares are first sold. From then on, the market value changes continuously but the book value is recorded at historical cost which typically only changes due to retained profits.

(e) To buy all of the firm's shares, generally a price close to the market value of equity will have to be paid.

Question 491  capital budgeting, opportunity cost, sunk cost

A man is thinking about taking a day off from his casual painting job to relax.

He just woke up early in the morning and he's about to call his boss to say that he won't be coming in to work.

But he's thinking about the hours that he could work today (in the future) which are:

(a) A sunk cost.

(b) An opportunity cost.

(c) A negative side effect.

(d) A capital expense.

(e) A depreciation expense.

Question 595  future, continuously compounding rate

A 2-year futures contract on a stock paying a continuous dividend yield of 3% pa was bought when the underlying stock price was $10 and the risk free rate was 10% per annum with continuous compounding. Assume that investors are risk-neutral, so the stock's total required return is the risk free rate.

Find the forward price ##(F_2)## and value of the contract ##(V_0)## initially. Also find the value of the contract in 6 months ##(V_{0.5})## if the stock price rose to $12.

(a) ##F_2=11.5027, V_0=0, V_{0.5}=1.5715##

(b) ##F_2=11.5027, V_0=0, V_{0.5}=1.8258##

(c) ##F_2=12.9693, V_0=0, V_{0.5}=1.3218##

(d) ##F_2=12.9693, V_0=0, V_{0.5}=1.3896##

(e) ##F_2=12.9693, V_0=0, V_{0.5}=1.6144##

Question 752  IRR, NPV

All other things remaining equal, a project is worse if its:

(a) IRR is lower.

(b) Discount rate is lower.

(c) NPV is higher.

(d) Positive cash flows occur sooner.

(e) Negative cash flows occur later.