Fight Finance

Question 18  DDM, income and capital returns

The following equation is the Dividend Discount Model, also known as the 'Gordon Growth Model' or the 'Perpetuity with growth' equation.

### p_{0} = \frac{c_1}{r_{\text{eff}} - g_{\text{eff}}} ###

What is the discount rate '## r_\text{eff} ##' in this equation?

(a) The expected total return of the stock.

(b) The expected capital return of the stock.

(c) The expected dividend return of the stock.

(d) The expected income return of the stock.

(e) The expected growth rate of the stock price.

Question 65  annuity with growth, needs refinement

Which of the below formulas gives the present value of an annuity with growth?

(a) ##\dfrac{C_1}{r-g}\left(1-\dfrac{1}{(1+r)^T}\right)##

(b) ##\dfrac{C_1(1+g)^T}{r-g}\left(1-\dfrac{1}{(1+r)^T}\right)##

(c) ##\dfrac{C_1}{r-g}\left(1-\dfrac{1+g}{(1+r)^T}\right)##

(d) ##\dfrac{C_1}{r-g}\left(1-\left(\dfrac{1+g}{1+r}\right)^T \right)##

(e) ##\dfrac{C_1(1+g)}{r-g}\left(1-\dfrac{1}{(1+r)^T}\right)##

Hint: The equation of a perpetuity without growth is: ###V_\text{0, perp without growth} = \frac{C_\text{1}}{r}###

The formula for the present value of an annuity without growth is derived from the formula for a perpetuity without growth.

The idea is than an annuity with T payments from t=1 to T inclusive is equivalent to a perpetuity starting at t=1 with fixed positive cash flows, plus a perpetuity starting T periods later (t=T+1) with fixed negative cash flows. The positive and negative cash flows after time period T cancel each other out, leaving the positive cash flows between t=1 to T, which is the annuity.

###\begin{aligned} V_\text{0, annuity} &= V_\text{0, perp without growth from t=1} - V_\text{0, perp without growth from t=T+1} \\ &= \dfrac{C_\text{1}}{r} - \dfrac{ \left( \dfrac{C_\text{T+1}}{r} \right) }{(1+r)^T} \\ &= \dfrac{C_\text{1}}{r} - \dfrac{ \left( \dfrac{C_\text{1}}{r} \right) }{(1+r)^T} \\ &= \dfrac{C_\text{1}}{r}\left(1 - \dfrac{1}{(1+r)^T}\right) \\ \end{aligned}###

The equation of a perpetuity with growth is:

###V_\text{0, perp with growth} = \dfrac{C_\text{1}}{r-g}###

Question 352  income and capital returns, DDM, real estate

Two years ago Fred bought a house for $300,000.

Now it's worth $500,000, based on recent similar sales in the area.

Fred's residential property has an expected total return of 8% pa.

He rents his house out for $2,000 per month, paid in advance. Every 12 months he plans to increase the rental payments.

The present value of 12 months of rental payments is $23,173.86.

The future value of 12 months of rental payments one year ahead is $25,027.77.

What is the expected annual growth rate of the rental payments? In other words, by what percentage increase will Fred have to raise the monthly rent by each year to sustain the expected annual total return of 8%?

(a) -0.3426%

(b) 0%

(c) 0.2754%

(d) 2.9944%

(e) 3.3652%

Question 407  income and capital returns, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows

A stock has a real expected total return of 7% pa and a real expected capital return of 2% pa.

Inflation is expected to be 2% pa. All rates are given as effective annual rates.

What is the nominal expected total return, capital return and dividend yield? The answers below are given in the same order.

(a) 11.100%, 4.000%, 7.100%.

(b) 11.140%, 4.040%, 7.100%.

(c) 4.902%, 0.000%, 4.902%.

(d) 9.140%, 4.040%, 5.100%.

(e) 9.140%, 4.040%, 7.100%.

Question 534  NPV, no explanation

You have $100,000 in the bank. The bank pays interest at 10% pa, given as an effective annual rate.

You wish to consume half as much now (t=0) as in one year (t=1) and have nothing left in the bank at the end.

How much can you consume at time zero and one? The answer choices are given in the same order.

(a) $26,190.48,   $52380.95

(b) $31,250,   $62,500

(c) $33,333.33,   $66,666.67

(d) $34,375,   $68,750

(e) $35,483.87,   $70,967.74

Question 797  option, Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing, option delta, no explanation

Which of the following quantities from the Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing formula gives the risk-neutral probability that a European put option will be exercised?

(a) ##N[d_1]##

(b) ##N[d_2]##

(c) ##−N[−d_1]##

(d) ##−N[−d_2]##

(e) ##N[−d_2]##

Question 800  leverage, portfolio return, risk, portfolio risk, capital structure, no explanation

Which of the following assets would you expect to have the highest required rate of return? All values are current market values.

(a) $1000 of Australian federal government bonds.

(b) $2 million of Australian federal government bonds.

(c) A $1 million residential house asset.

(d) A home loan secured on a $1 million residential house asset with an LVR of 80%.

(e) Equity (the deposit) in a $1 million residential house asset with an LVR of 80%.

Question 862  yield curve, bond pricing, bill pricing, monetary policy, no explanation

Refer to the below graph when answering the questions.

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) The 3-month government bill yield is likely to be given as a simple interest rate.

(b) The 10-year government bond yield is likely to be given as an annualised percentage rate compounding every six months since Japanese government bonds pay semi-annual coupons.

(c) As 10-year government bond yields fell over the last few years, bond investors would have made capital gains assuming that the bonds are fixed-coupon.

(d) The Japanese yield curve is ‘inverse’ at the latest time in mid-2017.

(e) The Japanese central bank has been maintaining expansionary monetary policy over the last few years.

Question 864  option, binomial option pricing

A one year European-style put option has a strike price of $4. The option's underlying stock pays no dividends and currently trades at $5. The risk-free interest rate is 10% pa continuously compounded. Use a single step binomial tree to calculate the option price, assuming that the price could rise to $8 ##(u = 1.6)## or fall to $3.125 ##(d = 1/1.6)## in one year. The put option price now is:

(a) 0.401817831

(b) 0.430922619

(c) 0.444077381

(d) 0.490781407

(e) 0.861038209

Question 956  option, Black-Scholes-Merton option pricing, delta hedging, hedging

A bank sells a European call option on a non-dividend paying stock and delta hedges on a daily basis. Below is the result of their hedging, with columns representing consecutive days. Assume that there are 365 days per year and interest is paid daily in arrears.

Delta Hedging a Short Call using Stocks and Debt
Description	Symbol	Days to maturity (T in days)
		60	59	58	57	56	55
Spot price ($)	S	10000	10125	9800	9675	10000	10000
Strike price ($)	K	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000	10000
Risk free cont. comp. rate (pa)	r	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05	0.05
Standard deviation of the stock's cont. comp. returns (pa)	σ	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4	0.4
Option maturity (years)	T	0.164384	0.161644	0.158904	0.156164	0.153425	0.150685
Delta	N[d1] = dc/dS	0.552416	0.582351	0.501138	0.467885	0.550649	0.550197
Probability that S > K at maturity in risk neutral world	N[d2]	0.487871	0.51878	0.437781	0.405685	0.488282	0.488387
Call option price ($)	c	685.391158	750.26411	567.990995	501.487157	660.982878	?
Stock investment value ($)	N[d1]*S	5524.164129	5896.301781	4911.152036	4526.788065	5506.488143	?
Borrowing which partly funds stock investment ($)	N[d2]*K/e^(r*T)	4838.772971	5146.037671	4343.161041	4025.300909	4845.505265	?
Interest expense from borrowing paid in arrears ($)	r*N[d2]*K/e^(r*T)		0.662891	0.704985	0.594994	0.551449	?
Gain on stock ($)	N[d1]*(SNew - SOld)		69.052052	-189.264008	-62.642245	152.062648	?
Gain on short call option ($)	-1*(cNew - cOld)		-64.872952	182.273114	66.503839	-159.495721	?
Net gain ($)	Gains - InterestExpense		3.516209	-7.695878	3.266599	-7.984522	?
Gamma	Γ = d^2c/dS^2	0.000244	0.00024	0.000255	0.00026	0.000253	0.000255
Theta	θ = dc/dT	2196.873429	2227.881353	2182.174706	2151.539751	2266.589184	2285.1895

 

In the last column when there are 55 days left to maturity there are missing values. Which of the following statements about those missing values is NOT correct?

(a) The call option price is expected to be $654.757851.

(b) The stock investment value used for hedging should be $5506.488143, partly funded by $4845.505265 in debt.

(c) The interest expense on the borrowing from the previous day will be $0.663813.

(d) The gain on the stock is zero and the gain on the short call option is $6.225027.

(e) The net gain is $5.561214.