You're considering making an investment in a particular company. They have preference shares, ordinary shares, senior debt and junior debt.

Which is the safest investment? Which will give the highest returns?

**Question 322** foreign exchange rate, monetary policy, American and European terms

The market expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to decrease the policy rate by 25 basis points at their next meeting.

Then unexpectedly, the RBA announce that they will decrease the policy rate by 50 basis points due to fears of a recession and deflation.

What do you expect to happen to Australia's exchange rate? The Australian dollar will:

**Question 337** capital structure, interest tax shield, leverage, real and nominal returns and cash flows, multi stage growth model

A fast-growing firm is suitable for valuation using a multi-stage growth model.

It's **nominal** unlevered cash flow from assets (##CFFA_U##) at the end of this year (**t=1**) is expected to be $**1** million. After that it is expected to grow at a rate of:

**12**% pa for the next two years (from t=1 to 3),**5**% over the fourth year (from t=3 to 4), and**-1**% forever after that (from t=4 onwards). Note that this is a negative one percent growth rate.

Assume that:

- The nominal WACC
**after**tax is**9.5**% pa and is not expected to change. - The nominal WACC
**before**tax is**10**% pa and is not expected to change. - The firm has a target debt-to-
**equity**ratio that it plans to maintain. - The inflation rate is
**3**% pa. - All rates are given as
**nominal**effective annual rates.

What is the levered value of this fast growing firm's assets?

Over the next year, the management of an unlevered company plans to:

- Achieve firm free cash flow (FFCF or CFFA) of $1m.
- Pay dividends of $1.8m
- Complete a $1.3m share buy-back.
- Spend $0.8m on new buildings without buying or selling any other fixed assets. This capital expenditure is included in the CFFA figure quoted above.

Assume that:

- All amounts are received and paid at the end of the year so you can ignore the time value of money.
- The firm has sufficient retained profits to pay the dividend and complete the buy back.
- The firm plans to run a very tight ship, with no excess cash above operating requirements currently or over the next year.

How much new equity financing will the company need? In other words, what is the value of new shares that will need to be issued?

**Question 370** capital budgeting, NPV, interest tax shield, WACC, CFFA

Project Data | ||

Project life | 2 yrs | |

Initial investment in equipment | $600k | |

Depreciation of equipment per year | $250k | |

Expected sale price of equipment at end of project | $200k | |

Revenue per job | $12k | |

Variable cost per job | $4k | |

Quantity of jobs per year | 120 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $100k | |

Interest expense in first year (at t=1) | $16.091k | |

Interest expense in second year (at t=2) | $9.711k | |

Tax rate | 30% | |

Government treasury bond yield | 5% | |

Bank loan debt yield | 6% | |

Levered cost of equity | 12.5% | |

Market portfolio return | 10% | |

Beta of assets | 1.24 | |

Beta of levered equity | 1.5 | |

Firm's and project's debt-to-equity ratio |
25% | |

**Notes**

- The project will require an immediate purchase of $
**50**k of inventory, which will all be sold at cost when the project ends. Current liabilities are negligible so they can be ignored.

**Assumptions**

- The debt-to-equity ratio will be kept constant throughout the life of the project. The amount of interest expense at the end of each period has been correctly calculated to maintain this constant debt-to-equity ratio. Note that interest expense is different in each year.
- Thousands are represented by 'k' (kilo).
- All cash flows occur at the start or end of the year as appropriate, not in the middle or throughout the year.
- All rates and cash flows are nominal. The inflation rate is 2% pa.
- All rates are given as effective annual rates.
- The 50% capital gains tax discount is not available since the project is undertaken by a firm, not an individual.

What is the net present value (NPV) of the project?

The CAPM can be used to find a business's expected opportunity cost of capital:

###r_i=r_f+β_i (r_m-r_f)###

What should be used as the risk free rate ##r_f##?

The below three graphs show probability density functions (PDF) of three different random variables Red, Green and Blue. Let ##P_1## be the unknown price of a stock in one year. ##P_1## is a random variable. Let ##P_0 = 1##, so the share price now is $1. This one dollar is a constant, it is not a variable.

Which of the below statements is **NOT** correct? Financial practitioners commonly assume that the shape of the PDF represented in the colour:

**Question 884** monetary policy, impossible trinity, foreign exchange rate, no explanation

According to the impossible trinity, a currency can only have two of these three desirable traits: be **fixed** against the USD; **convertible** to and from USD for traders and investors so there are open goods, services and capital markets; and allow **independent** monetary policy set by the country’s central bank, independent of the US central bank.

Which of the following exchange rate regimes sacrifices fixing the exchange rate to the USD? In other words, which regime uses a floating exchange rate?

**Question 890** foreign exchange rate, monetary policy, no explanation

The market expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to **increase** the policy rate by **25** basis points at their next meeting. The current exchange rate is **0.8** USD per AUD.

Then unexpectedly, the RBA announce that they will increase the policy rate by **50** basis points due to increased fears of inflation.

What do you expect to happen to Australia's exchange rate on the day when the surprise announcement is made? The Australian dollar is likely to suddenly: