Fight Finance

Question 41  DDM, income and capital returns

The following is the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) used to price stocks:

### P_0 = \frac{d_1}{r-g} ###

Assume that the assumptions of the DDM hold and that the time period is measured in years.

Which of the following is equal to the expected dividend in 3 years, ## d_3 ##?

(a) ## d_1(1+g)^3 ##

(b) ## P_3(r-g) ##

(c) ## d_2(1+g)^2 ##

(d) ## P_0(1+g)^3(r-g) ##

(e) ## P_0(1+g)^2(r-g) ##

Question 43  pay back period

A project to build a toll road will take 3 years to complete, costing three payments of $50 million, paid at the start of each year (at times 0, 1, and 2).

After completion, the toll road will yield a constant $10 million at the end of each year forever with no costs. So the first payment will be at t=4.

The required return of the project is 10% pa given as an effective nominal rate. All cash flows are nominal.

What is the payback period?

(a) Negative since the NPV is negative.

(b) Zero since the project's internal rate of return is less than the required return.

(c) 15 years.

(d) 18 years.

(e) Infinite, since the project will never pay itself off.

Question 61  NPV

In Australia, domestic university students are allowed to buy concession tickets for the bus, train and ferry which sell at a discount of 50% to full-price tickets.

The Australian Government do not allow international university students to buy concession tickets, they have to pay the full price.

Some international students see this as unfair and they are willing to pay for fake university identification cards which have the concession sticker.

What is the most that an international student would be willing to pay for a fake identification card?

Assume that international students:

• consider buying their fake card on the morning of the first day of university from their neighbour, just before they leave to take the train into university.
• buy their weekly train tickets on the morning of the first day of each week.
• ride the train to university and back home again every day seven days per week until summer holidays 40 weeks from now. The concession card only lasts for those 40 weeks. Assume that there are 52 weeks in the year for the purpose of interest rate conversion.
• a single full-priced one-way train ride costs $5.
• have a discount rate of 11% pa, given as an effective annual rate.

Approach this question from a purely financial view point, ignoring the illegality, embarrassment and the morality of committing fraud.

(a) $347.7483

(b) $665.5796

(c) $673.3153

(d) $1,346.6305

(e) $2,693.2610

Question 175  pay back period, no explanation

A project has the following cash flows. Normally cash flows are assumed to happen at the given time. But here, assume that the cash flows are received smoothly over the year. So the $250 at time 2 is actually earned smoothly from t=1 to t=2:

Project Cash Flows
Time (yrs)	Cash flow ($)
0	-400
1	200
2	250

What is the payback period of the project in years?

(a) 0.20

(b) 1.20

(c) 1.80

(d) 2.25

(e) 2.80

Question 400  option, no explanation

A European put option will mature in ##T## years with a strike price of ##K## dollars. The underlying asset has a price of ##S## dollars.

What is an expression for the payoff at maturity ##(f_T)## in dollars from owning (being long) the put option?

(a) ##\max(S_T - K, 0)##.

(b) ##\max(S_T - K, K)##.

(c) ##\max(K-S_T, 0)##.

(d) ##\max(K-S_T, K)##.

(e) ##\min(K-S_T, 0)##.

Question 813  market efficiency

The famous investor Warren Buffett is one of few portfolio managers who appears to have consistently beaten the market. His company Berkshire Hathaway (BRK) appears to have outperformed the US S&P500 market index, shown in the graph below.

Read the below statements about Warren Buffett and the implications for the Efficient Markets Hypothesis (EMH) theory of Eugene Fama. Assume that the first sentence is true. Analyse the second sentence and select the answer option which is NOT correct. In other words, find the false statement in the second sentence.

(a) Buffett is clever and by reading the news and financial reports he is able to buy under-priced stocks and sell over-priced stocks. This provides evidence for rejecting the semi-strong and strong form EMH.

(b) Buffett was lucky, his strategy happened to be the right one, not due to its merits, just by chance. This provides no evidence for or against the weak, semi-strong or strong form EMH.

(c) Buffett’s investment strategy exposes investors to higher undiversifiable risk than the market and therefore deserves a higher return. This provides no evidence for or against the weak, semi-strong or strong form EMH.

(d) Buffett is an insider trader and is able to make money from his private information. This provides evidence for rejecting the semi-strong and strong form EMH. (Note: Warren Buffett is not an insider trader, he is an honest philanthropist, but assume the contrary in this answer option).

(e) Buffett may not have beaten the market because the graphs ignore dividends - the S&P500 is the price index rather than the accumulation index and BRK pays no dividends, so even though BRK has a higher capital return than the S&P500, the total returns could be equal. This provides no evidence for or against the weak, semi-strong or strong form EMH.

Question 859  money supply, no explanation

The below table shows Australian monetary aggregates. Note that ‘M3’ is the sum of all the figures in the table and ‘ADI’ stands for Authorised Deposit-taking Institution such as a bank, building society or credit union.

Australian Monetary Aggregates
March 2017, AUD billions
Currency	Current deposits with banks	Certificates of deposit issued by banks	Term deposits with banks	Other deposits with banks	Deposits with non-bank ADIs	M3
69.3	271.6	207.2	562.3	838.7	36.9	1986.0

 

Source: RBA Statistical Table D3 Monetary Aggregates.

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) Current deposits are the notes and coins that banks keep in their physical vaults and Automatic Teller Machines (ATM’s).

(b) Current deposits with banks pay little interest to depositors but are highly liquid since they can be withdrawn using ATM’s.

(c) The government directly controls the amount of notes and coins.

(d) The central bank indirectly controls the amount of deposits by changing the cash rate.

(e) When a commercial bank lends money to a borrower to buy a house, that money is likely to be deposited by the house seller into another bank.

Question 887  foreign exchange rate, no explanation

Examine the graph of the AUD versus the USD, EUR and JPY. Note that RHS means right hand side and LHS left hand side which indicates which axis each line corresponds to. Assume inflation rates in each country were equal over the time period 1984 to 2018.

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) The AUD was strongest against the JPY in 1984. This would have been a good time for Australians to holiday in Japan.

(b) Between 2001 and 2007 the AUD appreciated against the USD which would have been bad news for Australian exporters.

(c) In 1985 the AUD depreciated against the USD, JPY and EUR.

(d) In 2011 and 2012, Australian products would have appeared cheap in USD for Americans compared to the past.

(e) Between 1984 and 1986, the JPY appreciated against the USD.

Question 924  foreign exchange rate, forward foreign exchange rate, arbitrage, forward interest rate, no explanation

Suppose that the yield curve in the United States of America and Australia is flat and that the current:

• USD federal funds rate is 1% pa;
• AUD cash rate is 1.5% pa;
• Spot AUD exchange rate is 1 USD per AUD;
• One year forward AUD exchange rate is 0.97 USD per AUD.

You suspect that there’s an arbitrage opportunity.

Which one of the following statements about the potential arbitrage opportunity is NOT correct?

(a) Right now, borrow USD in America, convert it into AUD at the spot, lend it in Australia, lock in to buy USD and sell AUD forward one year. One year later, withdraw the AUD, convert it into USD and pay back the USD loan.

(b) American debt may be over-priced, sell it.

(c) Australian debt may be under-priced, buy it.

(d) The spot AUD may be under-priced compared to the USD, buy the AUD now.

(e) The forward AUD may be under-priced compared to the USD, lock in to buy the AUD in one year.

Question 938  CAPM, SML

The market's expected total return is 10% pa and the risk free rate is 5% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

A stock has a beta of 0.7.

In the last 5 minutes, bad economic news was released showing a higher chance of recession. Over this time the share market fell by 2%. The risk free rate was unchanged. What do you think was the stock's historical return over the last 5 minutes, given as an effective 5 minute rate?

(a) -8.5%

(b) -2.7%

(c) -2%

(d) -1.4%

(e) 0.1%