**Question 50** DDM, stock pricing, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows

Most listed Australian companies pay dividends twice per year, the 'interim' and 'final' dividends, which are roughly 6 months apart.

You are an equities analyst trying to value the company BHP. You decide to use the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) as a starting point, so you study BHP's dividend history and you find that BHP tends to pay the same interim and final dividend each year, and that both grow by the same rate.

You expect BHP will pay a $0.55 interim dividend in six months and a $0.55 final dividend in one year. You expect each to grow by 4% next year and forever, so the interim and final dividends next year will be $0.572 each, and so on in perpetuity.

Assume BHP's cost of equity is 8% pa. All rates are quoted as nominal effective rates. The dividends are nominal cash flows and the inflation rate is 2.5% pa.

What is the current price of a BHP share?

You want to buy an apartment worth $400,000. You have saved a deposit of $80,000. The bank has agreed to lend you the $320,000 as a **fully amortising** mortgage loan with a term of 30 years. The interest rate is 6% pa and is not expected to change. What will be your monthly payments?

Select the most correct statement from the following.

'Chartists', also known as 'technical traders', believe that:

A prospective home buyer can afford to pay $2,000 per month in mortgage loan repayments. The central bank recently lowered its policy rate by 0.25%, and residential home lenders cut their mortgage loan rates from 4.74% to 4.49%.

How much more can the prospective home buyer borrow now that interest rates are **4.49%** rather than **4.74%**? Give your answer as a proportional increase over the original amount he could borrow (##V_\text{before}##), so:

Assume that:

- Interest rates are expected to be
**constant**over the life of the loan. - Loans are
**interest-only**and have a life of 30 years. - Mortgage loan payments are made every month in arrears and all interest rates are given as annualised percentage rates compounding per month.

Total cash flows can be broken into income and capital cash flows. What is the name given to the **income** cash flow from owning shares?

**Question 535** DDM, real and nominal returns and cash flows, stock pricing

You are an equities analyst trying to value the equity of the Australian telecoms company Telstra, with ticker TLS. In Australia, listed companies like Telstra tend to pay dividends every **6** months. The payment around August is called the final dividend and the payment around February is called the interim dividend. Both occur annually.

- Today is mid-
**March 2015**. - TLS's last interim dividend of $
**0.15**was one month ago in mid-**February 2015**. - TLS's last final dividend of $
**0.15**was seven months ago in mid-**August 2014**.

Judging by TLS's dividend history and prospects, you estimate that the nominal dividend growth rate will be **1**% pa. Assume that TLS's total nominal cost of equity is **6**% pa. The dividends are nominal cash flows and the inflation rate is **2.5**% pa. All rates are quoted as nominal effective annual rates. Assume that each month is exactly one twelfth (1/12) of a year, so you can ignore the number of days in each month.

Calculate the current TLS share price.

On 22-Mar-2013 the Australian Government issued series TB139 treasury bonds with a combined face value $23.4m, listed on the ASX with ticker code GSBG25.

The bonds mature on **21-Apr-2025**, the fixed coupon rate is **3.25**% pa and coupons are paid **semi-annually** on the 21st of April and October of each year. Each bond's face value is $**1,000**.

At market close on Friday **11-Sep-2015** the bonds' yield was **2.736**% pa.

At market close on Monday **14-Sep-2015** the bonds' yield was **2.701**% pa. Both yields are given as annualised percentage rates (APR's) compounding every 6 months. For convenience, assume 183 days in 6 months and 366 days in a year.

What was the historical total return over those 3 calendar days between Friday 11-Sep-2015 and Monday 14-Sep-2015?

There are **183** calendar days from market close on the last coupon 21-Apr-2015 to the market close of the next coupon date on 21-Oct-2015.

Between the market close times from 21-Apr-2015 to 11-Sep-2015 there are **143** calendar days. From 21-Apr-2015 to 14-Sep-2015 there are **146** calendar days.

From 14-Sep-2015 there were **20** coupons remaining to be paid including the next one on 21-Oct-2015.

All of the below answers are given as effective 3 day rates.

A trader **sells** one crude oil European style **put** option contract on the CME expiring in one year with an exercise price of $44 per barrel for a price of $6.64. The crude oil spot price is $40.33. If the trader doesn’t close out her contract before maturity, then at maturity she will have the: