Question 50 DDM, stock pricing, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows
Most listed Australian companies pay dividends twice per year, the 'interim' and 'final' dividends, which are roughly 6 months apart.
You are an equities analyst trying to value the company BHP. You decide to use the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) as a starting point, so you study BHP's dividend history and you find that BHP tends to pay the same interim and final dividend each year, and that both grow by the same rate.
You expect BHP will pay a $0.55 interim dividend in six months and a $0.55 final dividend in one year. You expect each to grow by 4% next year and forever, so the interim and final dividends next year will be $0.572 each, and so on in perpetuity.
Assume BHP's cost of equity is 8% pa. All rates are quoted as nominal effective rates. The dividends are nominal cash flows and the inflation rate is 2.5% pa.
What is the current price of a BHP share?
A stock is expected to pay the following dividends:
Cash Flows of a Stock | ||||||
Time (yrs) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ... |
Dividend ($) | 0.00 | 1.15 | 1.10 | 1.05 | 1.00 | ... |
After year 4, the annual dividend will grow in perpetuity at -5% pa. Note that this is a negative growth rate, so the dividend will actually shrink. So,
- the dividend at t=5 will be ##$1(1-0.05) = $0.95##,
- the dividend at t=6 will be ##$1(1-0.05)^2 = $0.9025##, and so on.
The required return on the stock is 10% pa. Both the growth rate and required return are given as effective annual rates.
What is the current price of the stock?
The theory of fixed interest bond pricing is an application of the theory of Net Present Value (NPV). Also, a 'fairly priced' asset is not over- or under-priced. Buying or selling a fairly priced asset has an NPV of zero.
Considering this, which of the following statements is NOT correct?
A stock is expected to pay the following dividends:
Cash Flows of a Stock | ||||||
Time (yrs) | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | ... |
Dividend ($) | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 3 | ... |
After year 4, the dividend will grow in perpetuity at 4% pa. The required return on the stock is 10% pa. Both the growth rate and required return are given as effective annual rates.
What is the current price of the stock?
Find World Bar's Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA), also known as Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF), over the year ending 30th June 2013.
World Bar | ||
Income Statement for | ||
year ending 30th June 2013 | ||
$m | ||
Sales | 300 | |
COGS | 150 | |
Operating expense | 50 | |
Depreciation | 40 | |
Interest expense | 10 | |
Taxable income | 50 | |
Tax at 30% | 15 | |
Net income | 35 | |
World Bar | ||
Balance Sheet | ||
as at 30th June | 2013 | 2012 |
$m | $m | |
Assets | ||
Current assets | 200 | 230 |
PPE | ||
Cost | 400 | 400 |
Accumul. depr. | 75 | 35 |
Carrying amount | 325 | 365 |
Total assets | 525 | 595 |
Liabilities | ||
Current liabilities | 150 | 205 |
Non-current liabilities | 235 | 250 |
Owners' equity | ||
Retained earnings | 100 | 100 |
Contributed equity | 40 | 40 |
Total L and OE | 525 | 595 |
Note: all figures above and below are given in millions of dollars ($m).
Which of the following companies is most suitable for valuation using PE multiples techniques?
A firm has a debt-to-assets ratio of 20%. What is its debt-to-equity ratio?
Question 723 mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate
Here is a table of stock prices and returns. Which of the statements below the table is NOT correct?
Price and Return Population Statistics | ||||
Time | Prices | LGDR | GDR | NDR |
0 | 100 | |||
1 | 99 | -0.010050 | 0.990000 | -0.010000 |
2 | 180.40 | 0.600057 | 1.822222 | 0.822222 |
3 | 112.73 | 0.470181 | 0.624889 | 0.375111 |
Arithmetic average | 0.0399 | 1.1457 | 0.1457 | |
Arithmetic standard deviation | 0.4384 | 0.5011 | 0.5011 | |
You deposit money into a bank. Which of the following statements is NOT correct? You: