Fight Finance

Question 50  DDM, stock pricing, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows

Most listed Australian companies pay dividends twice per year, the 'interim' and 'final' dividends, which are roughly 6 months apart.

You are an equities analyst trying to value the company BHP. You decide to use the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) as a starting point, so you study BHP's dividend history and you find that BHP tends to pay the same interim and final dividend each year, and that both grow by the same rate.

You expect BHP will pay a $0.55 interim dividend in six months and a $0.55 final dividend in one year. You expect each to grow by 4% next year and forever, so the interim and final dividends next year will be $0.572 each, and so on in perpetuity.

Assume BHP's cost of equity is 8% pa. All rates are quoted as nominal effective rates. The dividends are nominal cash flows and the inflation rate is 2.5% pa.

What is the current price of a BHP share?

(a) $57.1734

(b) $28.0394

(c) $27.7723

(d) $27.5000

(e) $27.2330

Question 71  CAPM, risk

Stock A has a beta of 0.5 and stock B has a beta of 1. Which statement is NOT correct?

(a) Stock A has less systematic risk than stock B, so stock A's return should be less than stock B's.

(b) Stock B has the same systematic risk as the market, so its return should be the same as the market's.

(c) Stock B has the same beta as the market, so it also has the same total risk as the market.

(d) If stock A and B were combined in a portfolio with weights of 50% each, the beta of the portfolio would be 0.75.

(e) Stocks A and B have more systematic risk than the risk free security (government bonds) so their return should be greater than the risk free rate.

Question 290  APR, effective rate, debt terminology

Which of the below statements about effective rates and annualised percentage rates (APR's) is NOT correct?

(a) An effective annual rate could be called: "a yearly rate compounding per year".

(b) An APR compounding monthly could be called: "a yearly rate compounding per month".

(c) An effective monthly rate could be called: "a yearly rate compounding per month".

(d) An APR compounding daily could be called: "a yearly rate compounding per day".

(e) An effective 2-year rate could be called: "a 2-year rate compounding every 2 years".

Question 787  fixed for floating interest rate swap, intermediated swap

The below table summarises the borrowing costs confronting two companies A and B.

Bond Market Yields
	Fixed Yield to Maturity (%pa)	Floating Yield (%pa)
Firm A	2	L - 0.1
Firm B	2.5	L

 

Firm A wishes to borrow at a floating rate and Firm B wishes to borrow at a fixed rate. Design an intermediated swap (which means there will actually be two swaps) that nets a bank 0.15% and grants the remaining swap benefits to Firm A only. Which of the following statements about the swap is NOT correct?

(a) Firm A is less risky than Firm B. Firm A would have a higher credit rating.

(b) Firm A has the absolute advantage issuing bonds in both the fixed and floating coupon bond markets.

(c) Firm A has a comparative advantage issuing bonds in the floating coupon bond market.

(d) The net benefit from the swap available to Firm A is 0.25%.

(e) The swap rate between Firm B and the Bank would be 2.5% pa.

Question 876  foreign exchange rate, forward foreign exchange rate, cross currency interest rate parity

Suppose the yield curve in the USA and Germany is flat and the:

• USD federal funds rate at the Federal Reserve is 1% pa;
• EUR deposit facility at the European Central Bank is -0.4% pa (note the negative sign);
• Spot EUR exchange rate is 1 USD per EUR;
• One year forward EUR exchange rate is 1.011 USD per EUR.

You suspect that there’s an arbitrage opportunity. Which one of the following statements about the potential arbitrage opportunity is NOT correct?

(a) Right now, borrow USD in America, convert it into EUR at the spot, lend it in Germany and lock in to buy USD and sell EUR forward one year. One year later, withdraw the EUR, convert it into USD and pay back the USD loan.

(b) American debt may be under-priced, buy it.

(c) German debt may be over-priced, sell it.

(d) The spot EUR may be over-priced compared to the USD, sell the EUR now.

(e) The forward EUR may be under-priced compared to the USD, lock in to buy the EUR in one year.

Question 907  continuously compounding rate, return types, return distribution, price gains and returns over time

For an asset's price to double from say $1 to $2 in one year, what must its continuously compounded return ##(r_{CC})## be? If the price now is ##P_0## and the price in one year is ##P_1## then the continuously compounded return over the next year is:

###r_\text{CC annual} = \ln{\left[ \dfrac{P_1}{P_0} \right]} = \text{LGDR}_\text{annual}###

(a) 0%

(b) 30.102999566%

(c) 69.314718056%

(d) 100%

(e) 200%

Question 922  Stutzer portfolio performance indicator, Sharpe ratio, no explanation

Stutzer’s Portfolio Performance Indicator (PPI) ranks portfolios similarly to what other performance metric, assuming that the portfolios’ continuously compounded returns (LGDR’s) are normally distributed?

(a) Sharpe ratio.

(b) Treynor ratio.

(c) Jensen’s alpha.

(d) Sortino ratio.

(e) Diversification ratio.

Question 924  foreign exchange rate, forward foreign exchange rate, arbitrage, forward interest rate, no explanation

Suppose that the yield curve in the United States of America and Australia is flat and that the current:

• USD federal funds rate is 1% pa;
• AUD cash rate is 1.5% pa;
• Spot AUD exchange rate is 1 USD per AUD;
• One year forward AUD exchange rate is 0.97 USD per AUD.

You suspect that there’s an arbitrage opportunity.

Which one of the following statements about the potential arbitrage opportunity is NOT correct?

(a) Right now, borrow USD in America, convert it into AUD at the spot, lend it in Australia, lock in to buy USD and sell AUD forward one year. One year later, withdraw the AUD, convert it into USD and pay back the USD loan.

(b) American debt may be over-priced, sell it.

(c) Australian debt may be under-priced, buy it.

(d) The spot AUD may be under-priced compared to the USD, buy the AUD now.

(e) The forward AUD may be under-priced compared to the USD, lock in to buy the AUD in one year.

Question 931  confidence interval, normal distribution

A stock's returns are normally distributed with a mean of 10% pa and a standard deviation of 20 percentage points pa. What is the 90% confidence interval of returns over the next year? Note that the Z-statistic corresponding to a one-tail:

• 90% normal probability density function is 1.282.
• 95% normal probability density function is 1.645.
• 97.5% normal probability density function is 1.960.

The 90% confidence interval of annual returns is between:

(a) 30% and -10% pa.

(b) 32.9% and -32.9% pa.

(c) 35.64% and -15.64% pa.

(d) 42.9% and -22.9% pa.

(e) 49.2% and -29.2% pa.

Question 947  arbitrage table, option, no explanation

A non-dividend paying stock has a current price of $20.

The risk free rate is 5% pa given as a continuously compounded rate.

Options on the stock are currently priced at $5 for calls and $5.55 for puts where both options have a 2 year maturity and an exercise price of $24.

You suspect that the call option contract is mis-priced and would like to conduct a risk-free arbitrage that requires zero capital. Which of the following steps about arbitraging the situation is NOT correct?

(a) The call option is over-priced and should be sold.

(b) One put option should be sold.

(c) One stock should be bought.

(d) A 2 year zero coupon bond with a face value at maturity of $24 should be sold.

(e) The gain now will be $1.1661 per option contract with zero cash flows in the future.