Estimate the French bank Societe Generale's share price using a backward-looking price earnings (PE) multiples approach with the following assumptions and figures only. Note that EUR is the euro, the European monetary union's currency.

- The 4 major European banks Credit Agricole (ACA), Deutsche Bank AG (DBK), UniCredit (UCG) and Banco Santander (SAN) are comparable companies to Societe Generale (GLE);
- Societe Generale's (GLE's) historical earnings per share (EPS) is EUR 2.92;
- ACA's backward-looking PE ratio is 16.29 and historical EPS is EUR 0.84;
- DBK's backward-looking PE ratio is 25.01 and historical EPS is EUR 1.26;
- SAN's backward-looking PE ratio is 14.71 and historical EPS is EUR 0.47;
- UCG's backward-looking PE ratio is 15.78 and historical EPS is EUR 0.40;

Note: Figures sourced from Google Finance on 27 March 2015.

**Question 539** debt terminology, fully amortising loan, bond pricing

A 'fully amortising' loan can also be called a:

**Question 545** income and capital returns, fully amortising loan, no explanation

Which of the following statements about the capital and income returns of a **25 year** **fully amortising** loan asset is correct?

Assume that the yield curve (which shows total returns over different maturities) is flat and is not expected to change.

Over the 25 years from issuance to maturity, a fully amortising loan's expected **annual** effective:

**Question 546** income and capital returns, interest only loan, no explanation

Which of the following statements about the capital and income returns of an **interest-only** loan is correct?

Assume that the yield curve (which shows total returns over different maturities) is flat and is not expected to change.

An interest-only loan's expected:

An investor bought a **10** year **2.5**% pa fixed coupon government bond priced at **par**. The face value is $**100**. Coupons are paid **semi-annually** and the next one is in 6 months.

**Six months later**, just **after** the coupon at that time was paid, yields suddenly and unexpectedly fell to **2**% pa. Note that all yields above are given as APR's compounding semi-annually.

What was the bond investors' historical total return over that first 6 month period, given as an effective semi-annual rate?

The following table shows a sample of historical total returns of shares in two different companies A and B.

Stock Returns | ||

Total effective annual returns | ||

Year | ##r_A## | ##r_B## |

2007 | 0.2 | 0.4 |

2008 | 0.04 | -0.2 |

2009 | -0.1 | -0.3 |

2010 | 0.18 | 0.5 |

What is the historical sample covariance (##\hat{\sigma}_{A,B}##) and correlation (##\rho_{A,B}##) of stock A and B's total effective annual returns?

All things remaining equal, the variance of a portfolio of two positively-weighted stocks **rises** as:

**Question 282** expected and historical returns, income and capital returns

You're the boss of an investment bank's equities research team. Your five analysts are each trying to find the **expected total return** over the next year of shares in a mining company. The mining firm:

- Is regarded as a mature company since it's quite stable in size and was floated around 30 years ago. It is not a high-growth company;
- Share price is very sensitive to changes in the price of the market portfolio, economic growth, the exchange rate and commodities prices. Due to this, its standard deviation of total returns is much higher than that of the market index;
- Experienced tough times in the last 10 years due to unexpected falls in commodity prices.
- Shares are traded in an active liquid market.

Assume that:

- The analysts' source data is correct and true, but their inferences might be wrong;
- All returns and yields are given as effective annual nominal rates.

What is the covariance of a variable X with itself?

The cov(X, X) or ##\sigma_{X,X}## equals:

What is the correlation of a variable X with a constant C?

The corr(X, C) or ##\rho_{X,C}## equals:

The standard deviation and variance of a stock's annual returns are calculated over a number of years. The units of the returns are percent per annum ##(\% pa)##.

What are the units of the standard deviation ##(\sigma)## and variance ##(\sigma^2)## of returns respectively?

**Hint**: Visit Wikipedia to understand the difference between percentage points ##(\text{pp})## and percent ##(\%)##.

Let the variance of returns for a share per month be ##\sigma_\text{monthly}^2##.

What is the formula for the variance of the share's returns per year ##(\sigma_\text{yearly}^2)##?

Assume that returns are independently and identically distributed (iid) so they have zero auto correlation, meaning that if the return was higher than average today, it does not indicate that the return tomorrow will be higher or lower than average.

Let the standard deviation of returns for a share per month be ##\sigma_\text{monthly}##.

What is the formula for the standard deviation of the share's returns per year ##(\sigma_\text{yearly})##?

Assume that returns are independently and identically distributed (iid) so they have zero auto correlation, meaning that if the return was higher than average today, it does not indicate that the return tomorrow will be higher or lower than average.

Which statement(s) are correct?

(i) All stocks that plot on the Security Market Line (SML) are fairly priced.

(ii) All stocks that plot above the Security Market Line (SML) are overpriced.

(iii) All fairly priced stocks that plot on the Capital Market Line (CML) have zero idiosyncratic risk.

Select the most correct response:

A stock's correlation with the market portfolio increases while its total risk is unchanged. What will happen to the stock's expected return and systematic risk?

A firm changes its capital structure by issuing a large amount of debt and using the funds to repurchase shares. Its assets are unchanged. Ignore interest tax shields.

According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which statement is correct?

**Question 408** leverage, portfolio beta, portfolio risk, real estate, CAPM

You just bought a house worth $**1,000,000**. You financed it with an $**800,000** mortgage loan and a deposit of $**200,000**.

You estimate that:

- The house has a beta of
**1**; - The mortgage loan has a beta of
**0.2**.

What is the beta of the equity (the $200,000 deposit) that you have in your house?

Also, if the risk free rate is **5**% pa and the market portfolio's return is **10**% pa, what is the expected return on equity in your house? Ignore taxes, assume that all cash flows (interest payments and rent) were paid and received at the end of the year, and all rates are effective annual rates.

A firm can issue 5 year annual coupon bonds at a yield of 8% pa and a coupon rate of 12% pa.

The beta of its levered equity is 1. Five year government bonds yield 5% pa with a coupon rate of 6% pa. The market's expected dividend return is 4% pa and its expected capital return is 6% pa.

The firm's debt-to-**equity** ratio is 2:1. The corporate tax rate is 30%.

What is the firm's after-tax WACC? Assume a classical tax system.

**Question 100** market efficiency, technical analysis, joint hypothesis problem

A company selling charting and technical analysis software claims that independent academic studies have shown that its software makes significantly positive abnormal returns. Assuming the claim is true, which statement(s) are correct?

(I) Weak form market efficiency is broken.

(II) Semi-strong form market efficiency is broken.

(III) Strong form market efficiency is broken.

(IV) The asset pricing model used to measure the abnormal returns (such as the CAPM) had mis-specification error so the returns may not be abnormal but rather fair for the level of risk.

Select the most correct response:

Select the most correct statement from the following.

'Chartists', also known as 'technical traders', believe that:

**Question 339** bond pricing, inflation, market efficiency, income and capital returns

Economic statistics released this morning were a surprise: they show a strong chance of consumer price inflation (CPI) reaching 5% pa over the next 2 years.

This is much higher than the previous forecast of 3% pa.

A vanilla fixed-coupon 2-year risk-free government bond was issued at **par** this morning, just **before** the economic news was released.

What is the expected change in bond price after the economic news this morning, and in the next 2 years? Assume that:

- Inflation remains at 5% over the next 2 years.
- Investors demand a constant real bond yield.
- The bond price falls by the (after-tax) value of the coupon the night before the ex-coupon date, as in real life.

A person is thinking about borrowing $100 from the bank at 7% pa and investing it in shares with an expected return of 10% pa. One year later the person will sell the shares and pay back the loan in full. Both the loan and the shares are fairly priced.

What is the Net Present Value (NPV) of this one year investment? Note that you are asked to find the present value (##V_0##), not the value in one year (##V_1##).

**Question 448** franking credit, personal tax on dividends, imputation tax system

A small private company has a single shareholder. This year the firm earned a $**100** profit **before** tax. All of the firm's after tax profits will be paid out as dividends to the owner.

The corporate tax rate is **30**% and the sole shareholder's personal marginal tax rate is **45**%.

The Australian **imputation tax system** applies because the company generates all of its income in Australia and pays corporate tax to the Australian Tax Office. Therefore all of the company's dividends are fully franked. The sole shareholder is an Australian for tax purposes and can therefore use the franking credits to offset his personal income tax liability.

What will be the personal tax payable by the shareholder and the corporate tax payable by the company?

**Question 494** franking credit, personal tax on dividends, imputation tax system

A firm pays a fully franked cash dividend of $**100** to one of its Australian shareholders who has a personal marginal tax rate of **15**%. The corporate tax rate is **30**%.

What will be the shareholder's personal tax payable due to the dividend payment?

Due to floods overseas, there is a cut in the supply of the mineral iron ore and its price increases dramatically. An Australian iron ore mining company therefore expects a large but temporary increase in its profit and cash flows. The mining company does not have any positive NPV projects to begin, so what should it do? Select the most correct answer.

Currently, a mining company has a share price of $6 and pays constant annual dividends of $0.50. The next dividend will be paid in 1 year. Suddenly and unexpectedly the mining company announces that due to higher than expected profits, all of these windfall profits will be paid as a special dividend of $0.30 in 1 year.

If investors believe that the windfall profits and dividend is a one-off event, what will be the new share price? If investors believe that the additional dividend is actually permanent and will continue to be paid, what will be the new share price? Assume that the required return on equity is unchanged. Choose from the following, where the first share price includes the one-off increase in earnings and dividends for the first year only ##(P_\text{0 one-off})## , and the second assumes that the increase is permanent ##(P_\text{0 permanent})##:

Note: When a firm makes excess profits they sometimes pay them out as special dividends. Special dividends are just like ordinary dividends but they are one-off and investors do not expect them to continue, unlike ordinary dividends which are expected to persist.

A pharmaceutical firm has just discovered a valuable new drug. So far the news has been kept a secret.

The net present value of making and commercialising the drug is $**200** million, but $**600** million of bonds will need to be issued to fund the project and buy the necessary plant and equipment.

The firm will release the news of the discovery and bond raising to shareholders simultaneously in the same announcement. The bonds will be issued shortly after.

Once the announcement is made and the bonds are issued, what is the expected increase in the value of the firm's assets (ΔV), market capitalisation of debt (ΔD) and market cap of equity (ΔE)?

The triangle symbol is the Greek letter capital delta which means change or increase in mathematics.

Ignore the benefit of interest tax shields from having more debt.

Remember: ##ΔV = ΔD+ΔE##

**Question 566** capital structure, capital raising, rights issue, on market repurchase, dividend, stock split, bonus issue

A company's share price fell by 20% and its number of shares rose by 25%. Assume that there are no taxes, no signalling effects and no transaction costs.

Which one of the following corporate events may have happened?

In mid 2009 the listed mining company Rio Tinto announced a 21-for-40 renounceable rights issue. Below is the chronology of events:

- 04/06/2009. Share price opens at $69.00 and closes at $66.90.
- 05/06/2009. 21-for-40 rights issue announced at a subscription price of $28.29.
- 16/06/2009. Last day that shares trade cum-rights. Share price opens at $76.40 and closes at $75.50.
- 17/06/2009. Shares trade ex-rights. Rights trading commences.

All things remaining equal, what would you expect Rio Tinto's stock price to open at on the first day that it trades ex-rights (17/6/2009)? Ignore the time value of money since time is negligibly short. Also ignore taxes.

**Question 455** income and capital returns, payout policy, DDM, market efficiency

A fairly priced **unlevered** firm plans to pay a dividend of $**1** next year (t=1) which is expected to grow by **3**% pa every year after that. The firm's required return on equity is **8**% pa.

The firm is thinking about reducing its future dividend payments by **10**% so that it can use the extra cash to invest in more projects which are expected to return **8**% pa, and have the same risk as the existing projects. Therefore, next year's dividend will be $**0.90**.

What will be the stock's new annual **capital** return (proportional increase in price per year) if the change in payout policy goes ahead?

Assume that payout policy is irrelevant to firm value and that all rates are effective annual rates.

An Indonesian lady wishes to convert 1 million Indonesian rupiah (IDR) to Australian dollars (AUD). Exchange rates are 13,125 IDR per USD and 0.79 USD per AUD. How many AUD is the IDR 1 million worth?

**Question 246** foreign exchange rate, forward foreign exchange rate, cross currency interest rate parity

Suppose the Australian cash rate is expected to be **8.15**% pa and the US federal funds rate is expected to be **3.00**% pa over the next **2** years, both given as nominal effective annual rates. The current exchange rate is at parity, so **1** USD = **1** AUD.

What is the implied **2** year forward foreign exchange rate?

The Chinese government attempts to fix its exchange rate against the US dollar and at the same time use monetary policy to fix its interest rate at a set level.

To be able to fix its exchange rate and interest rate in this way, what does the Chinese government actually do?

- Adopts capital controls to prevent financial arbitrage by private firms and individuals.
- Adopts the same interest rate (monetary policy) as the United States.
- Fixes inflation so that the domestic real interest rate is equal to the United States' real interest rate.

Which of the above statements is or are true?

**Question 353** income and capital returns, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows, real estate

A residential investment property has an expected **nominal** total return of **6**% pa and nominal capital return of **3**% pa.

Inflation is expected to be **2**% pa. All rates are given as effective annual rates.

What are the property's expected **real** total, capital and income returns? The answer choices below are given in the same order.

This annuity formula ##\dfrac{C_1}{r}\left(1-\dfrac{1}{(1+r)^3} \right)## is equivalent to which of the following formulas? Note the **3**.

In the below formulas, ##C_t## is a cash flow at time t. All of the cash flows are equal, but paid at different times.

A stock **just paid** its annual dividend of $9. The share price is $60. The required return of the stock is 10% pa as an effective annual rate.

What is the implied growth rate of the dividend per year?

The following equation is the Dividend Discount Model, also known as the 'Gordon Growth Model' or the 'Perpetuity with growth' equation.

###P_0=\frac{d_1}{r-g}###

A stock pays dividends annually. It just paid a dividend, but the next dividend (##d_1##) will be paid in one year.

According to the DDM, what is the correct formula for the expected price of the stock in 2.5 years?

The following is the Dividend Discount Model (DDM) used to price stocks:

### P_0 = \frac{d_1}{r-g} ###Assume that the assumptions of the DDM hold and that the time period is measured in years.

Which of the following is equal to the expected dividend in 3 years, ## d_3 ##?

**Question 498** NPV, Annuity, perpetuity with growth, multi stage growth model

A business project is expected to cost $100 now (t=0), then pay $10 at the end of the third (t=3), fourth, fifth and sixth years, and then grow by 5% pa every year forever. So the cash flow will be $10.5 at the end of the seventh year (t=7), then $11.025 at the end of the eighth year (t=8) and so on perpetually. The total required return is 10℅ pa.

Which of the following formulas will **NOT** give the correct net present value of the project?

An investor bought a **20** year **5**% pa fixed coupon government bond priced at **par**. The face value is $100. Coupons are paid semi-annually and the next one is in 6 months.

Six months later, just after the coupon at that time was paid, yields suddenly and unexpectedly rose to **5.5**% pa. Note that all yields above are given as APR's compounding semi-annually.

What was the bond investors' historical total return over that first 6 month period, given as an effective semi-annual rate?

Which of the following investable assets are **NOT** suitable for valuation using PE multiples techniques?

Which firms tend to have **low** forward-looking price-earnings (PE) ratios? Only consider firms with positive PE ratios.

In Australia in the 1980's, inflation was around 8% pa, and residential mortgage loan interest rates were around 14%.

In 2013, inflation was around 2.5% pa, and residential mortgage loan interest rates were around 4.5%.

If a person can afford constant mortgage loan payments of $**2,000** per month, how much more can they borrow when interest rates are **4.5**% pa compared with **14.0**% pa?

Give your answer as a proportional increase over the amount you could borrow when interest rates were high ##(V_\text{high rates})##, so:

###\text{Proportional increase} = \dfrac{V_\text{low rates}-V_\text{high rates}}{V_\text{high rates}} ###

Assume that:

- Interest rates are expected to be constant over the life of the loan.
- Loans are
**interest-only**and have a life of**30**years. - Mortgage loan payments are made every month in arrears and all interest rates are given as annualised percentage rates (
**APR**'s) compounding per**month**.

You're trying to save enough money for a deposit to buy a house. You want to buy a house worth $400,000 and the bank requires a 20% deposit ($80,000) before it will give you a loan for the other $320,000 that you need.

You currently have no savings, but you just started working and can save $2,000 per month, with the first payment in one month from now. Bank interest rates on savings accounts are 4.8% pa with interest paid monthly and interest rates are not expected to change.

How long will it take to save the $80,000 deposit? Round your answer up to the nearest month.

You own a nice suit which you wear once per week on nights out. You bought it one year ago for $600. In your experience, suits used once per week last for 6 years. So you expect yours to last for another 5 years.

Your younger brother said that retro is back in style so he wants to wants to borrow your suit once a week when he goes out. With the increased use, your suit will only last for another 4 years rather than 5.

What is the present value of the cost of letting your brother use your current suit for the next 4 years?

Assume: that bank interest rates are 10% pa, given as an effective annual rate; you will buy a new suit when your current one wears out and your brother will not use the new one; your brother will only use your current suit so he will only use it for the next four years; and the price of a new suit never changes.

Your friend is trying to find the net present value of a project. The project is expected to last for just one year with:

- a negative cash flow of
**-**$**1**million initially (t=0), and - a positive cash flow of $
**1.1**million in one year (t=1).

The project has a total required return of 10% pa due to its moderate level of undiversifiable risk.

Your friend is aware of the importance of opportunity costs and the time value of money, but he is unsure of how to find the NPV of the project.

He knows that the opportunity cost of investing the $1m in the project is the expected gain from investing the money in shares instead. Like the project, shares also have an expected return of 10% since they have moderate undiversifiable risk. This opportunity cost is $0.1m ##(=1m \times 10\%)## which occurs in one year (t=1).

He knows that the time value of money should be accounted for, and this can be done by finding the present value of the cash flows in one year.

Your friend has listed a few different ways to find the NPV which are written down below.

(I) ##-1m + \dfrac{1.1m}{(1+0.1)^1} ##

(II) ##-1m + \dfrac{1.1m}{(1+0.1)^1} - \dfrac{1m}{(1+0.1)^1} \times 0.1 ##

(III) ##-1m + \dfrac{1.1m}{(1+0.1)^1} - \dfrac{1.1m}{(1+0.1)^1} \times 0.1 ##

(IV) ##-1m + 1.1m - \dfrac{1.1m}{(1+0.1)^1} \times 0.1 ##

(V) ##-1m + 1.1m - 1.1m \times 0.1 ##

Which of the above calculations give the correct NPV? Select the most correct answer.

What is the net present value (NPV) of undertaking a full-time Australian undergraduate business degree as an Australian citizen? Only include the cash flows over the duration of the degree, ignore any benefits or costs of the degree after it's completed.

Assume the following:

- The degree takes
**3**years to complete and all students pass all subjects. - There are
**2**semesters per year and**4**subjects per semester. - University fees per subject per semester are
**$1,277**, paid at the**start**of each semester. Fees are expected to stay constant for the next 3 years. - There are
**52**weeks per year. - The first semester is just about to start (t=0). The first semester lasts for 19 weeks (t=
**0**to**19**). - The second semester starts immediately afterwards (t=19) and lasts for another 19 weeks (t=
**19**to**38**). - The summer holidays begin after the second semester ends and last for
**14**weeks (t=**38**to**52**). Then the first semester begins the next year, and so on. - Working full time at the grocery store instead of studying full-time pays
**$20**/hr and you can work**35**hours per week. Wages are paid at the**end**of each week. - Full-time students can work full-time during the summer holiday at the grocery store for the same rate of $20/hr for 35 hours per week. Wages are paid at the end of each week.
- The discount rate is
**9.8%**pa. All rates and cash flows are real. Inflation is expected to be**3%**pa. All rates are effective annual.

The NPV of costs from undertaking the university degree is:

Over the next year, the management of an unlevered company plans to:

- Achieve firm free cash flow (FFCF or CFFA) of $1m.
- Pay dividends of $1.8m
- Complete a $1.3m share buy-back.
- Spend $0.8m on new buildings without buying or selling any other fixed assets. This capital expenditure is included in the CFFA figure quoted above.

Assume that:

- All amounts are received and paid at the end of the year so you can ignore the time value of money.
- The firm has sufficient retained profits to pay the dividend and complete the buy back.
- The firm plans to run a very tight ship, with no excess cash above operating requirements currently or over the next year.

How much new equity financing will the company need? In other words, what is the value of new shares that will need to be issued?

Over the next year, the management of an **unlevered** company plans to:

- Make $
**5**m in sales, $**1.9m**in net income and $**2**m in equity free cash flow (EFCF). - Pay dividends of $
**1**m. - Complete a $
**1.3**m share buy-back.

Assume that:

- All amounts are received and paid at the end of the year so you can ignore the time value of money.
- The firm has sufficient retained profits to legally pay the dividend and complete the buy back.
- The firm plans to run a very tight ship, with no excess cash above operating requirements currently or over the next year.

How much new equity financing will the company need? In other words, what is the value of new shares that will need to be issued?

Find the cash flow from assets (CFFA) of the following project.

One Year Mining Project Data | ||

Project life | 1 year | |

Initial investment in building mine and equipment | $9m | |

Depreciation of mine and equipment over the year | $8m | |

Kilograms of gold mined at end of year | 1,000 | |

Sale price per kilogram | $0.05m | |

Variable cost per kilogram | $0.03m | |

Before-tax cost of closing mine at end of year | $4m | |

Tax rate | 30% | |

Note 1: Due to the project, the firm also anticipates finding some rare diamonds which will give before-tax revenues of $1m at the end of the year.

Note 2: The land that will be mined actually has thermal springs and a family of koalas that could be sold to an eco-tourist resort for an after-tax amount of $3m right now. However, if the mine goes ahead then this natural beauty will be destroyed.

Note 3: The mining equipment will have a book value of $1m at the end of the year for tax purposes. However, the equipment is expected to fetch $2.5m when it is sold.

Find the project's CFFA at time zero and one. Answers are given in millions of dollars ($m), with the first cash flow at time zero, and the second at time one.

Interest expense (IntExp) is an important part of a company's income statement (or 'profit and loss' or 'statement of financial performance').

How does an **accountant** calculate the annual interest expense of a fixed-coupon bond that has a liquid secondary market? Select the most correct answer:

Annual interest expense is equal to:

A retail furniture company buys furniture wholesale and distributes it through its retail stores. The owner believes that she has some good ideas for making stylish new furniture. She is considering a project to buy a factory and employ workers to manufacture the new furniture she's designed. Furniture manufacturing has more systematic risk than furniture retailing.

Her furniture retailing firm's after-tax WACC is 20%. Furniture manufacturing firms have an after-tax WACC of 30%. Both firms are optimally geared. Assume a classical tax system.

Which method(s) will give the correct valuation of the new furniture-making project? Select the most correct answer.

A method commonly seen in textbooks for calculating a levered firm's free cash flow (FFCF, or CFFA) is the following:

###\begin{aligned} FFCF &= (Rev - COGS - Depr - FC - IntExp)(1-t_c) + \\ &\space\space\space+ Depr - CapEx -\Delta NWC + IntExp(1-t_c) \\ \end{aligned}###

**Question 418** capital budgeting, NPV, interest tax shield, WACC, CFFA, CAPM

Project Data | ||

Project life | 1 year | |

Initial investment in equipment | $8m | |

Depreciation of equipment per year | $8m | |

Expected sale price of equipment at end of project | 0 | |

Unit sales per year | 4m | |

Sale price per unit | $10 | |

Variable cost per unit | $5 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $2m | |

Interest expense in first year (at t=1) | $0.562m | |

Corporate tax rate | 30% | |

Government treasury bond yield | 5% | |

Bank loan debt yield | 9% | |

Market portfolio return | 10% | |

Covariance of levered equity returns with market | 0.32 | |

Variance of market portfolio returns | 0.16 | |

Firm's and project's debt-to-equity ratio |
50% | |

**Notes**

- Due to the project, current assets will increase by $
**6**m now (t=0) and fall by $**6**m at the end (t=1). Current liabilities will not be affected.

**Assumptions**

- The debt-to-equity ratio will be kept constant throughout the life of the project. The amount of interest expense at the end of each period has been correctly calculated to maintain this constant debt-to-equity ratio.
- Millions are represented by 'm'.
- All cash flows occur at the start or end of the year as appropriate, not in the middle or throughout the year.
- All rates and cash flows are real. The inflation rate is 2% pa. All rates are given as effective annual rates.
- The project is undertaken by a firm, not an individual.

What is the net present value (NPV) of the project?

A share currently worth $**100** is expected to pay a constant dividend of $**4** for the next **5** years with the first dividend in one year (t=1) and the last in 5 years (t=5).

The total required return is **10**% pa.

What do you expected the share price to be in **5** years, just **after** the dividend at that time has been paid?

A new company's Firm Free Cash Flow (FFCF, same as CFFA) is forecast in the graph below.

To value the firm's assets, the terminal value needs to be calculated using the perpetuity with growth formula:

###V_{\text{terminal, }t-1} = \dfrac{FFCF_{\text{terminal, }t}}{r-g}###

Which point corresponds to the best time to calculate the terminal value?

An old company's Firm Free Cash Flow (FFCF, same as CFFA) is forecast in the graph below.

To value the firm's assets, the terminal value needs to be calculated using the perpetuity with growth formula:

###V_{\text{terminal, }t-1} = \dfrac{FFCF_{\text{terminal, }t}}{r-g}###

Which point corresponds to the best time to calculate the terminal value?

A new company's Firm Free Cash Flow (FFCF, same as CFFA) is forecast in the graph below.

To value the firm's assets, the terminal value needs to be calculated using the perpetuity with growth formula:

###V_{\text{terminal, }t-1} = \dfrac{FFCF_{\text{terminal, }t}}{r-g}###

Which point corresponds to the best time to calculate the terminal value?

**Question 345** capital budgeting, break even, NPV

Project Data | ||

Project life | 10 yrs | |

Initial investment in factory | $10m | |

Depreciation of factory per year | $1m | |

Expected scrap value of factory at end of project | $0 | |

Sale price per unit | $10 | |

Variable cost per unit | $6 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $2m | |

Interest expense per year | 0 | |

Tax rate | 30% | |

Cost of capital per annum | 10% | |

**Notes**

- The firm's current liabilities are forecast to stay at $0.5m. The firm's current assets (mostly inventory) is currently $1m, but is forecast to grow by $0.1m at the end of each year due to the project.

At the end of the project, the current assets accumulated due to the project can be sold for the same price that they were bought. - A marketing survey was used to forecast sales. It cost $1.4m which was just paid. The cost has been capitalised by the accountants and is tax-deductible over the life of the project, regardless of whether the project goes ahead or not. This amortisation expense is not included in the depreciation expense listed in the table above.

**Assumptions**

- All cash flows occur at the start or end of the year as appropriate, not in the middle or throughout the year.
- All rates and cash flows are real. The inflation rate is 3% pa.
- All rates are given as effective annual rates.

Find the break even unit production (Q) per year to achieve a zero *Net Income* (NI) and *Net Present Value* (NPV), respectively. The answers below are listed in the same order.

The hardest and most important aspect of business project valuation is the estimation of the:

An investor owns a whole level of an old office building which is currently worth $1 million. There are three mutually exclusive projects that can be started by the investor. The office building level can be:

- Rented out to a tenant for one year at $0.1m paid immediately, and then sold for $0.99m in one year.
- Refurbished into more modern commercial office rooms at a cost of $1m now, and then sold for $2.4m when the refurbishment is finished in one year.
- Converted into residential apartments at a cost of $2m now, and then sold for $3.4m when the conversion is finished in one year.

All of the development projects have the same risk so the required return of each is **10**% pa. The table below shows the estimated cash flows and internal rates of returns (IRR's).

Mutually Exclusive Projects | |||

Project | Cash flow now ($) |
Cash flow in one year ($) |
IRR (% pa) |

Rent then sell as is | -900,000 | 990,000 | 10 |

Refurbishment into modern offices | -2,000,000 | 2,400,000 | 20 |

Conversion into residential apartments | -3,000,000 | 3,400,000 | 13.33 |

Which project should the investor accept?

**Question 337** capital structure, interest tax shield, leverage, real and nominal returns and cash flows, multi stage growth model

A fast-growing firm is suitable for valuation using a multi-stage growth model.

It's **nominal** unlevered cash flow from assets (##CFFA_U##) at the end of this year (**t=1**) is expected to be $**1** million. After that it is expected to grow at a rate of:

**12**% pa for the next two years (from t=1 to 3),**5**% over the fourth year (from t=3 to 4), and**-1**% forever after that (from t=4 onwards). Note that this is a negative one percent growth rate.

Assume that:

- The nominal WACC
**after**tax is**9.5**% pa and is not expected to change. - The nominal WACC
**before**tax is**10**% pa and is not expected to change. - The firm has a target debt-to-
**equity**ratio that it plans to maintain. - The inflation rate is
**3**% pa. - All rates are given as
**nominal**effective annual rates.

What is the levered value of this fast growing firm's assets?

**Question 397** financial distress, leverage, capital structure, NPV

A levered firm has a market value of assets of $**10**m. Its debt is all comprised of zero-coupon bonds which mature in one year and have a combined face value of $**9.9**m.

Investors are risk-neutral and therefore all debt and equity holders demand the same required return of **10**% pa.

Therefore the current market capitalisation of debt ##(D_0)## is $**9**m and equity ##(E_0)## is $**1**m.

A new project presents itself which requires an investment of $**2**m and will provide a:

- $
**6.6**m cash flow with probability 0.5 in the good state of the world, and a **-**$**4.4**m (notice the negative sign) cash flow with probability 0.5 in the bad state of the world.

The project can be funded using the company's excess cash, no debt or equity raisings are required.

What would be the new market capitalisation of equity ##(E_\text{0, with project})## if shareholders vote to proceed with the project, and therefore should shareholders proceed with the project?

**Question 398** financial distress, capital raising, leverage, capital structure, NPV

A levered firm has zero-coupon bonds which mature in one year and have a combined face value of $**9.9**m.

Investors are risk-neutral and therefore all debt and equity holders demand the same required return of **10**% pa.

In one year the firm's assets will be worth:

- $
**13.2**m with probability 0.5 in the good state of the world, or - $
**6.6**m with probability 0.5 in the bad state of the world.

A new project presents itself which requires an investment of $**2**m and will provide a certain cash flow of $**3.3**m in one year.

The firm doesn't have any excess cash to make the initial $2m investment, but the funds can be raised from shareholders through a fairly priced rights issue. Ignore all transaction costs.

Should shareholders vote to proceed with the project and equity raising? What will be the gain in shareholder **wealth** if they decide to proceed?

The accounting identity states that the book value of a company's assets (A) equals its liabilities (L) plus owners equity (OE), so A = L + OE.

The finance version states that the market value of a company's assets (V) equals the market value of its debt (D) plus equity (E), so V = D + E.

Therefore a business's assets can be seen as a portfolio of the debt and equity that fund the assets.

Let ##\sigma_\text{V total}^2## be the total variance of returns on assets, ##\sigma_\text{V syst}^2## be the systematic variance of returns on assets, and ##\sigma_\text{V idio}^2## be the idiosyncratic variance of returns on assets, and ##\rho_\text{D idio, E idio}## be the correlation between the idiosyncratic returns on debt and equity.

Which of the following equations is **NOT** correct?

Private equity firms are known to buy medium sized private companies operating in the same industry, merge them together into a larger company, and then sell it off in a public float (initial public offering, IPO).

If medium-sized private companies trade at PE ratios of **5** and larger listed companies trade at PE ratios of **15**, what return can be achieved from this strategy?

Assume that:

- The medium-sized companies can be bought, merged and sold in an IPO instantaneously.
- There are no costs of finding, valuing, merging and restructuring the medium sized companies. Also, there is no competition to buy the medium-sized companies from other private equity firms.
- The large merged firm's earnings are the sum of the medium firms' earnings.
- The only reason for the difference in medium and large firm's PE ratios is due to the illiquidity of the medium firms' shares.
- Return is defined as: ##r_{0→1} = (p_1-p_0+c_1)/p_0## , where time zero is just before the merger and time one is just after.

Three important classes of investable risky assets are:

- Corporate debt which has low total risk,
- Real estate which has medium total risk,
- Equity which has high total risk.

Assume that the correlation between total returns on:

- Corporate debt and real estate is 0.1,
- Corporate debt and equity is 0.1,
- Real estate and equity is 0.5.

You are considering investing all of your wealth in one or more of these asset classes. Which portfolio will give the lowest total risk? You are restricted from shorting any of these assets. Disregard returns and the risk-return trade-off, pretend that you are only concerned with minimising risk.

A firm has **1** million shares which trade at a price of $**30** each. The firm is expected to announce earnings of $**3** million at the end of the year and pay an annual dividend of $**1.50** per share.

What is the firm's (forward looking) price/earnings (PE) ratio?

A company has:

- 50 million shares outstanding.
- The market price of one share is currently $6.
- The risk-free rate is 5% and the market return is 10%.
- Market analysts believe that the company's ordinary shares have a beta of
**2**. - The company has 1 million preferred stock which have a face (or par) value of $100 and pay a constant dividend of 10% of par. They currently trade for $80 each.
- The company's debentures are publicly traded and their market price is equal to 90% of their face value.
- The debentures have a total face value of $60,000,000 and the current yield to maturity of corporate debentures is 10% per annum. The corporate tax rate is 30%.

What is the company's after-tax weighted average cost of capital (WACC)? Assume a classical tax system.

**Question 104** CAPM, payout policy, capital structure, Miller and Modigliani, risk

Assume that there exists a perfect world with no transaction costs, no asymmetric information, no taxes, no agency costs, equal borrowing rates for corporations and individual investors, the ability to short the risk free asset, semi-strong form efficient markets, the CAPM holds, investors are rational and risk-averse and there are no other market frictions.

For a firm operating in this perfect world, which statement(s) are correct?

(i) When a firm changes its capital structure and/or payout policy, share holders' wealth is unaffected.

(ii) When the idiosyncratic risk of a firm's assets increases, share holders do not expect higher returns.

(iii) When the systematic risk of a firm's assets increases, share holders do not expect higher returns.

Select the most correct response:

**Question 271** CAPM, option, risk, systematic risk, systematic and idiosyncratic risk

All things remaining equal, according to the capital asset pricing model, if the systematic variance of an asset increases, its required return will increase and its price will decrease.

If the idiosyncratic variance of an asset increases, its price will be unchanged.

What is the relationship between the price of a call or put **option** and the total, systematic and idiosyncratic variance of the **underlying asset** that the option is based on? Select the most correct answer.

Call and put option prices **in**crease when the:

A firm has a debt-to-assets ratio of 50%. The firm then issues a large amount of equity to raise money for new projects of similar systematic risk to the company's existing projects. Assume a classical tax system. Which statement is correct?

**Question 405** DDM, income and capital returns, no explanation

The perpetuity with growth formula is:

###P_0= \dfrac{C_1}{r-g}###

Which of the following is **NOT** equal to the total required return (r)?

On 22-Mar-2013 the Australian Government issued series TB139 treasury bonds with a combined face value $23.4m, listed on the ASX with ticker code GSBG25.

The bonds mature on **21-Apr-2025**, the fixed coupon rate is **3.25**% pa and coupons are paid **semi-annually** on the 21st of April and October of each year. Each bond's face value is $**1,000**.

At market close on Friday **11-Sep-2015** the bonds' yield was **2.736**% pa.

At market close on Monday **14-Sep-2015** the bonds' yield was **2.701**% pa. Both yields are given as annualised percentage rates (APR's) compounding every 6 months. For convenience, assume 183 days in 6 months and 366 days in a year.

What was the historical total return over those 3 calendar days between Friday 11-Sep-2015 and Monday 14-Sep-2015?

There are **183** calendar days from market close on the last coupon 21-Apr-2015 to the market close of the next coupon date on 21-Oct-2015.

Between the market close times from 21-Apr-2015 to 11-Sep-2015 there are **143** calendar days. From 21-Apr-2015 to 14-Sep-2015 there are **146** calendar days.

From 14-Sep-2015 there were **20** coupons remaining to be paid including the next one on 21-Oct-2015.

All of the below answers are given as effective 3 day rates.

**Question 876** foreign exchange rate, forward foreign exchange rate, cross currency interest rate parity

Suppose the yield curve in the USA and Germany is flat and the:

- USD federal funds rate at the Federal Reserve is
**1**% pa; - EUR deposit facility at the European Central Bank is
**-0.4**% pa (note the negative sign); - Spot EUR exchange rate is
**1**USD per EUR; - One year forward EUR exchange rate is
**1.011**USD per EUR.

You suspect that there’s an arbitrage opportunity. Which one of the following statements about the potential arbitrage opportunity is **NOT** correct?

**Question 872** duration, Macaulay duration, modified duration, portfolio duration

A fixed coupon bond’s **modified** duration is **20** years, and yields are currently **10**% pa compounded annually. Which of the following statements about the bond is **NOT** correct?

A pig farmer in the US is worried about the price of hogs falling and wants to lock in a price now. In one year the pig farmer intends to sell **1,000,000** pounds of hogs. Luckily, one year CME lean hog futures expire on the exact day that he wishes to sell his pigs. The futures have a notional principal of **40,000** pounds (about 18 metric tons) and currently trade at a price of **63.85** cents per pound. The underlying lean hogs spot price is **77.15** cents per pound. The correlation between the futures price and the underlying hogs price is **one** and the standard deviations are both **4** cents per pound. The initial margin is USD**1,500** and the maintenance margin is USD**1,200** per futures contract.

Which of the below statements is **NOT** correct?