Fight Finance

(a) Alice says 5% pa since she calculated that this was the average total yield on government bonds over the last 10 years. She says that this is also the expected total yield implied by current prices on one year government bonds.

(b) Bob says 4% pa since he calculated that this was the average total return on the mining stock over the last 10 years.

(c) Cate says 3% pa since she calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share price over the last 10 years.

(d) Dave says 6% pa since he calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share market price index (not the accumulation index) over the last 10 years.

(e) Eve says 15% pa since she calculated that this was the discount rate implied by the dividend discount model using the current share price, forecast dividend in one year and a 3% growth rate in dividends thereafter, which is the expected long term inflation rate.

(a) Expected future total return of the market price of equity.

(b) Expected future total return of the book price of equity.

(c) Actual historical total return on the market price of equity.

(d) Actual historical total return on the book price of equity.

(e) Actual historical return on equity (ROE) defined as (Net Income / Owners Equity).

(a) Expected future growth rate of the dividend.

(b) Actual historical growth rate of the dividend.

(c) Expected future growth rate of the total required return on equity r.

(d) Actual historical growth rate of the market share price.

(e) Actual historical growth rate of the return on equity (ROE) defined as (Net Income / Owners Equity).

(a) Stocks are higher risk investments than debt.

(b) Stocks have higher expected returns than debt.

(c) Firms' past realised stock returns are always higher than their past realised debt returns.

(d) In the event of bankruptcy, stock holders are paid after debt holders are fully paid.

(e) Stock holders have a residual claim on the firm's assets.

If future required returns rise, and future expected cash flows remain the same, then prices will , or remain the ?

If future required returns fall, and future expected cash flows remain the same, then prices will , or remain the ?

If future expected cash flows rise, and future required returns remain the same, then prices will , or remain the ?

(a) Historical capital return last year was negative ##\left( \dfrac{P_0 - P_{-1}}{P_{-1}} < 0 \right)##.

(b) Historical dividend yield last year was negative ##\left( \dfrac{C_0}{P_{-1}} < 0 \right)##.

(c) Expected future capital return next year is positive ##\left( \dfrac{P_1 - P_0}{P_0} > 0 \right)##.

(d) Expected future dividend yield next year is positive ##\left( \dfrac{C_1}{P_0} > 0 \right)##.

(e) Expected future total return next year is positive ##\left( \dfrac{P_1 - P_0 + C_1}{P_0} > 0 \right)##.