Fight Finance

Question 203  fully amortising loan, APR

You just signed up for a 30 year fully amortising mortgage loan with monthly payments of $1,500 per month. The interest rate is 9% pa which is not expected to change.

How much did you borrow? After 10 years, how much will be owing on the mortgage? The interest rate is still 9% and is not expected to change.

(a) 184,925.77,     164,313.82

(b) 184,925.77,     115,517.84

(c) 186,422.80,     166,717.43

(d) 186,422.80,     118,412.54

(e) 192,435.28,     170,986.32

Question 247  cross currency interest rate parity, no explanation

In the so called 'Swiss Loans Affair' of the 1980's, Australian banks offered loans denominated in Swiss Francs to Australian farmers at interest rates as low as 4% pa. This was far lower than interest rates on Australian Dollar loans which were above 10% due to very high inflation in Australia at the time.

In the late-1980's there was a large depreciation in the Australian Dollar. The Australian Dollar nearly halved in value against the Swiss Franc. Many Australian farmers went bankrupt since they couldn't afford the interest payments on the Swiss Franc loans because the Australian Dollar value of those payments nearly doubled. The farmers accused the banks of promoting Swiss Franc loans without making them aware of the risks.

What fundamental principal of finance did the Australian farmers (and the bankers) fail to understand?

(a) Home-made leverage.

(b) Diversification.

(c) Cross-currency interest rate parity.

(d) Time value of money.

(e) The undiversifiable nature of systematic risk.

Question 282  expected and historical returns, income and capital returns

You're the boss of an investment bank's equities research team. Your five analysts are each trying to find the expected total return over the next year of shares in a mining company. The mining firm:

• Is regarded as a mature company since it's quite stable in size and was floated around 30 years ago. It is not a high-growth company;
• Share price is very sensitive to changes in the price of the market portfolio, economic growth, the exchange rate and commodities prices. Due to this, its standard deviation of total returns is much higher than that of the market index;
• Experienced tough times in the last 10 years due to unexpected falls in commodity prices.
• Shares are traded in an active liquid market.

Your team of analysts present their findings, and everyone has different views. While there's no definitive true answer, whose calculation of the expected total return is the most plausible? Assume that:

• The analysts' source data is correct and true, but their inferences might be wrong;
• All returns and yields are given as effective annual nominal rates.

(a) Alice says 5% pa since she calculated that this was the average total yield on government bonds over the last 10 years. She says that this is also the expected total yield implied by current prices on one year government bonds.

(b) Bob says 4% pa since he calculated that this was the average total return on the mining stock over the last 10 years.

(c) Cate says 3% pa since she calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share price over the last 10 years.

(d) Dave says 6% pa since he calculated that this was the average growth rate of the share market price index (not the accumulation index) over the last 10 years.

(e) Eve says 15% pa since she calculated that this was the discount rate implied by the dividend discount model using the current share price, forecast dividend in one year and a 3% growth rate in dividends thereafter, which is the expected long term inflation rate.

Question 304  option

Which one of the following is NOT usually considered an 'investable' asset for long-term wealth creation?

(a) Shares (ordinary and preference stocks).

(b) Real estate (land and buildings).

(c) Options (calls and puts).

(d) Human capital (education)

(e) Debt (bond and loan assets)

Question 312  foreign exchange rate, American and European terms

If the current AUD exchange rate is USD 0.9686 = AUD 1, what is the American terms quote of the AUD against the USD?

(a) 0.9686 USD per AUD

(b) 0.9686 AUD per USD

(c) 1.0324 USD per AUD

(d) 1.0324 AUD per USD

(e) 1.0324 AUD per 2 USD

Question 336  forward foreign exchange rate, no explanation

The Australian cash rate is expected to be 6% pa while the US federal funds rate is expected to be 4% pa over the next 3 years, both given as effective annual rates. The current exchange rate is 0.80 AUD per USD.

What is the implied 3 year forward foreign exchange rate?

(a) 1.180572 AUD per USD

(b) 0.848966 AUD per USD

(c) 0.847047 AUD per USD

(d) 0.755566 AUD per USD

(e) 0.752954 AUD per USD

Question 493  PE ratio

A firm has 2m shares and a market capitalisation of equity of $30m. The firm just announced earnings of $5m and paid an annual dividend of $0.75 per share.

What is the firm's (backward looking) price/earnings (PE) ratio?

(a) 2.5

(b) 3

(c) 6

(d) 15

(e) 20

Question 686  future

Which of the following statements about futures is NOT correct?

(a) Buyers of futures are required to pay an initial margin at the start.

(b) Futures are a zero-sum game in the sense that the winner gains at the expense of the loser.

(c) Buyers of futures have to pay the futures price at the start.

(d) Buyers of futures do not care about the credit risk of the original future seller since the contract is novated by the exchange.

(e) Speculators who sell futures hope that the underlying asset price falls.

Question 702  utility, risk aversion, utility function, gamble

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Each person has $50 of initial wealth. A coin toss game is offered to each person at a casino where the player can win or lose $50. Each player can flip a coin and if they flip heads, they receive $50. If they flip tails then they will lose $50. Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) Mr Blue would enjoy the gamble.

(b) Miss Red would be indifferent to gambling or not.

(c) Mrs Green would dislike the gamble.

(d) Mr Blue's certainty equivalent of the risky gamble is $70.71. This is more than his current wealth which is why he would like to gamble.

(e) Miss Red's certainty equivalent of the risky gamble is $50. This is the same as her current wealth which is why she is indifferent to gambling or not.

Question 867  limited liability, business structure

Which one of the following businesses is likely to be a public company in Australia, judging by its name?

(a) Joe Bloggs

(b) Jane Doe

(c) Bloggs and Doe

(d) Bloggs Ltd

(e) Doe Pty Ltd