Fight Finance

Question 56  income and capital returns, bond pricing, premium par and discount bonds

Which of the following statements about risk free government bonds is NOT correct?

(a) Premium bonds have a positive expected capital return.

(b) Discount bonds have a positive expected capital return.

(c) Par bonds have a zero expected capital return.

(d) Par bonds have a total expected yield equal to their coupon yield.

(e) Zero coupon bonds selling at par would have zero expected total, income and capital yields.

Hint: Total return can be broken into income and capital returns as follows:

###\begin{aligned} r_\text{total} &= \frac{c_1}{p_0} + \frac{p_1-p_0}{p_0} \\ &= r_\text{income} + r_\text{capital} \end{aligned} ###

The capital return is the growth rate of the price.
The income return is the periodic cash flow. For a bond this is the coupon payment.

Question 202  DDM, payout policy

Currently, a mining company has a share price of $6 and pays constant annual dividends of $0.50. The next dividend will be paid in 1 year. Suddenly and unexpectedly the mining company announces that due to higher than expected profits, all of these windfall profits will be paid as a special dividend of $0.30 in 1 year.

If investors believe that the windfall profits and dividend is a one-off event, what will be the new share price? If investors believe that the additional dividend is actually permanent and will continue to be paid, what will be the new share price? Assume that the required return on equity is unchanged. Choose from the following, where the first share price includes the one-off increase in earnings and dividends for the first year only ##(P_\text{0 one-off})## , and the second assumes that the increase is permanent ##(P_\text{0 permanent})##:

(a) ##P_\text{0 one-off} = 9.6000, \space \space P_\text{0 permanent} = 6.2766##

(b) ##P_\text{0 one-off} = 6.3000, \space \space P_\text{0 permanent} = 6.2769##

(c) ##P_\text{0 one-off} = 9.6000, \space \space P_\text{0 permanent} = 6.3000##

(d) ##P_\text{0 one-off} = 6.2769, \space \space P_\text{0 permanent} = 9.6000##

(e) ##P_\text{0 one-off} = 6.3000, \space \space P_\text{0 permanent} = 9.6000##

Note: When a firm makes excess profits they sometimes pay them out as special dividends. Special dividends are just like ordinary dividends but they are one-off and investors do not expect them to continue, unlike ordinary dividends which are expected to persist.

Question 222  fully amortising loan, APR

You just agreed to a 30 year fully amortising mortgage loan with monthly payments of $2,500. The interest rate is 9% pa which is not expected to change.

How much did you borrow? After 10 years, how much will be owing on the mortgage? The interest rate is still 9% and is not expected to change. The below choices are given in the same order.

(a) $320,725.47,     $284,977.19

(b) $310,704.66,     $277,862.39

(c) $310,704.66,     $197,354.23

(d) $308,209.62,     $273,856.37

(e) $308,209.62,     $192,529.73

Question 296  CFFA, interest tax shield

Which one of the following will decrease net income (NI) but increase cash flow from assets (CFFA) in this year for a tax-paying firm, all else remaining constant?

Remember:

###NI=(Rev-COGS-FC-Depr-IntExp).(1-t_c )### ###CFFA=NI+Depr-CapEx - ΔNWC+IntExp###

(a) An increase in revenue (##Rev##).

(b) An decrease in revenue (##Rev##).

(c) An increase in rent expense (part of fixed costs, ##FC##).

(d) An increase in interest expense (##IntExp##).

(e) An increase in dividends.

Question 307  risk, variance

Let the variance of returns for a share per month be ##\sigma_\text{monthly}^2##.

What is the formula for the variance of the share's returns per year ##(\sigma_\text{yearly}^2)##?

Assume that returns are independently and identically distributed (iid) so they have zero auto correlation, meaning that if the return was higher than average today, it does not indicate that the return tomorrow will be higher or lower than average.

(a) ##\sigma_\text{yearly}^2 = \sigma_\text{monthly}^2##

(b) ##\sigma_\text{yearly}^2 = \sigma_\text{monthly}^2 \times 12##

(c) ##\sigma_\text{yearly}^2 = \sigma_\text{monthly}^2 \times 12^2##

(d) ##\sigma_\text{yearly}^2 = \sigma_\text{monthly}^2 \times \sqrt{12}##

(e) ##\sigma_\text{yearly}^2 = \sigma_\text{monthly}^2 \times {12}^{1/3}##

Question 435  option, no explanation

Will the price of a call option on equity or if the standard deviation of returns (risk) of the underlying shares becomes higher?

Question 484  payout ratio, dividend, no explanation

The below screenshot of Microsoft's (MSFT) details were taken from the Google Finance website on 28 Nov 2014. Some information has been deliberately blanked out.

What was MSFT's approximate payout ratio over the last year?

Note that MSFT's past four quarterly dividends were $0.31, $0.28, $0.28 and $0.28.

(a) 45.1%

(b) 30.95%

(c) 13.96%

(d) 5.33%

(e) 2.41%

Question 520  NPV, DDM

The following cash flows are expected:

• Constant perpetual yearly payments of $70, with the first payment in 2.5 years from now (first payment at t=2.5).
• A single payment of $600 in 3 years and 9 months (t=3.75) from now.

What is the NPV of the cash flows if the discount rate is 10% given as an effective annual rate?

(a) $875.549502

(b) $921.135446

(c) $971.279985

(d) $1,026.438978

(e) $1,119.690058

Question 860  idiom, hedging, speculation, arbitrage, market making, insider trading, no explanation

Which class of derivatives market trader is NOT principally focused on ‘buying low and selling high’?

(a) Hedgers.

(b) Speculators.

(c) Arbitrageurs.

(d) Market makers.

(e) Insider traders.

Question 958  confidence interval, normal distribution

A stock's returns are normally distributed with a mean of 8% pa and a standard deviation of 15 percentage points pa. What is the 99% confidence interval of returns over the next year? Note that the Z-statistic corresponding to a one-tail:

• 90% normal probability density function is 1.282.
• 95% normal probability density function is 1.645.
• 97.5% normal probability density function is 1.960.
• 99% normal probability density function is 2.326.
• 99.5% normal probability density function is 2.576

The 99% confidence interval of annual returns is between:

(a) 61.52% and -61.52% pa.

(b) 56.52% and -36.52% pa.

(c) 51.52% and -51.52% pa.

(d) 46.64% and -30.64% pa.

(e) 30% and -10% pa.