Fight Finance

Question 274  derivative terminology, option

The 'option price' in an option contract is paid at the start when the option contract is agreed to. or ?

Question 292  standard deviation, risk

Find the sample standard deviation of returns using the data in the table:

Stock Returns
Year	Return pa
2008	0.3
2009	0.02
2010	-0.2
2011	0.4

The returns above and standard deviations below are given in decimal form.

(a) 0.277075

(b) 0.272519

(c) 0.239954

(d) 0.236008

(e) 0.162070

Question 573  bond pricing, zero coupon bond, term structure of interest rates, expectations hypothesis, liquidity premium theory, forward interest rate, yield curve

In the below term structure of interest rates equation, all rates are effective annual yields and the numbers in subscript represent the years that the yields are measured over:

###(1+r_{0-3})^3 = (1+r_{0-1})(1+r_{1-2})(1+r_{2-3}) ###

Which of the following statements is NOT correct?

(a) If the expectations hypothesis is true, then the forward rates are the expected future spot rates.

(b) If the liquidity premium theory is true, then the forward rates are lower than the expected future spot rates due to the liquidity premium.

(c) The yield curve is normal when: ##r_{0-1} < r_{1-2} < r_{2-3}##.

(d) The yield curve is flat when: ##r_{0-1} = r_{1-2} = r_{2-3}##.

(e) The yield curve is inverse when: ##r_{0-1} > r_{1-2} > r_{2-3}##.

Question 627  CAPM, SML, NPV, Jensens alpha

Assets A, B, M and ##r_f## are shown on the graphs above. Asset M is the market portfolio and ##r_f## is the risk free yield on government bonds. Which of the below statements is NOT correct?

(a) Asset A has a Jensen's alpha of 4.5% pa.

(b) Asset A is under-priced.

(c) The NPV of buying asset A is zero.

(d) Asset B has a Jensen's alpha of zero.

(e) Asset B is fairly priced.

Question 749  Multiples valuation, PE ratio, price to revenue ratio, price to book ratio, NPV

A real estate agent says that the price of a house in Sydney Australia is approximately equal to the gross weekly rent times 1000.

What type of valuation method is the real estate agent using?

(a) Price to EBITDA multiple.

(b) Price to book multiple.

(c) Price to earnings multiple.

(d) Price to revenue multiple.

(e) Discounted cash flow (DCF).

Question 779  mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate

Fred owns some BHP shares. He has calculated BHP’s monthly returns for each month in the past 30 years using this formula:

###r_\text{t monthly}=\ln⁡ \left( \dfrac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} \right)###

He then took the arithmetic average and found it to be 0.8% per month using this formula:

###\bar{r}_\text{monthly}= \dfrac{ \displaystyle\sum\limits_{t=1}^T{\left( r_\text{t monthly} \right)} }{T} =0.008=0.8\% \text{ per month}###

He also found the standard deviation of these monthly returns which was 15% per month:

###\sigma_\text{monthly} = \dfrac{ \displaystyle\sum\limits_{t=1}^T{\left( \left( r_\text{t monthly} - \bar{r}_\text{monthly} \right)^2 \right)} }{T} =0.15=15\%\text{ per month}###

Assume that the past historical average return is the true population average of future expected returns and the stock's returns calculated above ##(r_\text{t monthly})## are normally distributed. Which of the below statements about Fred’s BHP shares is NOT correct?

(a) The returns ##r_\text{t monthly}## are continuously compounded monthly returns.

(b) The mean, median and mode of the continuously compounded annual return is expected to equal 0.8% per month.

(c) The annualised average continuously compounded return is ##\bar{r}_\text{cc annual}=12×0.008=0.096=9.6\%\text{ pa}##. The annualised standard deviation is ##\sigma_\text{annual} = \sqrt{12}×0.15=0.519615242 = 52\%\text{ pa}##.

(d) If the current price of the BHP shares is $20, they're expected to have a median value of $52.2339 ##(= 20×e^{0.008×12×10})## in 10 years.

(e) If the current price of the BHP shares is $20, they're expected to have a mean value of $13.5411 ##(= 20×e^{(0.008 - 0.15^2/2)×12×10})## in 10 years.

Question 926  mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate

The arithmetic average continuously compounded or log gross discrete return (AALGDR) on the ASX200 accumulation index over the 24 years from 31 Dec 1992 to 31 Dec 2016 is 9.49% pa.

The arithmetic standard deviation (SDLGDR) is 16.92 percentage points pa.

Assume that the log gross discrete returns are normally distributed and that the above estimates are true population statistics, not sample statistics, so there is no standard error in the sample mean or standard deviation estimates. Also assume that the standardised normal Z-statistic corresponding to a one-tail probability of 2.5% is exactly -1.96.

If you had a $1 million fund that replicated the ASX200 accumulation index, in how many years would the median dollar value of your fund first be expected to lie outside the 95% confidence interval forecast?

(a) 23.17 years.

(b) 41.31 years.

(c) 134.19 years.

(d) 536.75 years.

(e) Never.

Question 935  real estate, NPV, perpetuity with growth, multi stage growth model, DDM

You're thinking of buying an investment property that costs $1,000,000. The property's rent revenue over the next year is expected to be $50,000 pa and rent expenses are $20,000 pa, so net rent cash flow is $30,000. Assume that net rent is paid annually in arrears, so this next expected net rent cash flow of $30,000 is paid one year from now.

The year after, net rent is expected to fall by 2% pa. So net rent at year 2 is expected to be $29,400 (=30,000*(1-0.02)^1).

The year after that, net rent is expected to rise by 1% pa. So net rent at year 3 is expected to be $29,694 (=30,000*(1-0.02)^1*(1+0.01)^1).

From year 3 onwards, net rent is expected to rise at 2.5% pa forever. So net rent at year 4 is expected to be $30,436.35 (=30,000*(1-0.02)^1*(1+0.01)^1*(1+0.025)^1).

Assume that the total required return on your investment property is 6% pa. Ignore taxes. All returns are given as effective annual rates.

What is the net present value (NPV) of buying the investment property?

(a) $1,190,459.24

(b) $809,540.76

(c) $768,212.01

(d) -$231,787.99

(e) -$190,459.24

Question 962  foreign exchange rate, real estate

Major City Apartment Prices
One bedroom, one bathroom, around 55 square metre floor space, Dec 2018
City	Advertised price	Currency	FX quote
London, Great Britain	995,500	GBP	1.3 USD per GBP
Paris, France	639,000	EUR	0.88 USD per EUR
San Francisco, USA	859,000	USD	1 USD per USD
Shanghai, China	6,300,000	RMB	6.9 RMB per USD
Sydney, Australia	670,000	AUD	0.72 USD per AUD
Tokyo, Japan	50,800,000	JPY	112 JPY per USD

Which city has the most expensive apartment, measured in United States Dollars (USD)? Pay attention to the FX quotes.

(a) London

(b) Shanghai

(c) Sydney

(d) Tokyo

(e) Paris.

Question 974  foreign exchange rate, monetary policy, no explanation

Suppose the market expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to increase their short term interest rate by 15 basis points at their next meeting. The current short term interest rate is -0.1% pa and the exchange rate is 100 JPY per USD.

As expected, the BoJ announce that they will increase short term interest rate by 15 basis points.

What do you expect to happen to Japan’s exchange rate on the day when the announcement is made? The Japanese Yen (JPY) is likely to:

(a) Remain at 100 JPY per USD.

(b) Appreciate against the USD to be, say, 101 JPY per USD.

(c) Appreciate against the USD to be, say, 99 JPY per USD.

(d) Depreciate against the USD to be, say, 101 JPY per USD.

(e) Depreciate against the USD to be, say, 99 JPY per USD.