**Question 745** real and nominal returns and cash flows, inflation, income and capital returns

If the nominal gold price is expected to increase at the same rate as inflation which is 3% pa, which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

**Question 760** time calculation, interest only loan, no explanation

**Five** years ago (##t=-5## years) you entered into an **interest-only** home loan with a principal of $**500,000**, an interest rate of **4.5**% pa compounding monthly with a term of **25** years.

Then interest rates suddenly fall to **3**% pa (##t=0##), but you continue to pay the same monthly home loan payments as you did before. Will your home loan be paid off by the end of its remaining term? If so, in how many years from now? Measure the time taken to pay off the home loan from the current time which is 5 years after the home loan was first entered into.

Assume that the lower interest rate was given to you immediately after the loan repayment at the end of year 5, which was the 60th payment since the loan was granted. Also assume that rates were and are expected to remain constant.

A **4.5**% fixed coupon Australian Government bond was issued at **par** in mid-**April 2009**. Coupons are paid **semi-annually** in arrears in mid-April and mid-October each year. The face value is $**1,000**. The bond will mature in mid-**April 2020**, so the bond had an original tenor of **11** years.

Today is mid-**September 2015** and similar bonds now yield **1.9**% pa.

What is the bond's new price? Note: there are 10 semi-annual coupon payments remaining from now (mid-September 2015) until maturity (mid-April 2020); both yields are given as APR's compounding semi-annually; assume that the yield curve was flat before the change in yields, and remained flat afterwards as well.

A young lady is trying to decide if she should attend university or not.

The young lady's parents say that she must attend university because otherwise all of her hard work studying and attending school during her childhood was a waste.

What's the correct way to classify this item from a capital budgeting perspective when trying to decide whether to attend university?

The hard work studying at school in her childhood should be classified as:

Value the following business project to manufacture a new product.

Project Data | ||

Project life | 2 yrs | |

Initial investment in equipment | $6m | |

Depreciation of equipment per year | $3m | |

Expected sale price of equipment at end of project | $0.6m | |

Unit sales per year | 4m | |

Sale price per unit | $8 | |

Variable cost per unit | $5 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $1m | |

Interest expense per year | 0 | |

Tax rate | 30% | |

Weighted average cost of capital after tax per annum | 10% | |

**Notes**

- The firm's current assets and current liabilities are $3m and $2m respectively right now. This net working capital will not be used in this project, it will be used in other unrelated projects.

Due to the project, current assets (mostly inventory) will grow by $2m initially (at t = 0), and then by $0.2m at the end of the first year (t=1).

Current liabilities (mostly trade creditors) will increase by $0.1m at the end of the first year (t=1).

At the end of the project, the net working capital accumulated due to the project can be sold for the same price that it was bought. - The project cost $0.5m to research which was incurred one year ago.

**Assumptions**

- All cash flows occur at the start or end of the year as appropriate, not in the middle or throughout the year.
- All rates and cash flows are real. The inflation rate is 3% pa.
- All rates are given as effective annual rates.
- The business considering the project is run as a 'sole tradership' (run by an individual without a company) and is therefore eligible for a 50% capital gains tax discount when the equipment is sold, as permitted by the Australian Tax Office.

What is the expected net present value (NPV) of the project?

**Question 413** CFFA, interest tax shield, depreciation tax shield

There are many ways to calculate a firm's free cash flow (FFCF), also called cash flow from assets (CFFA).

One method is to use the following formulas to transform net income (NI) into FFCF including interest and depreciation tax shields:

###FFCF=NI + Depr - CapEx -ΔNWC + IntExp###

###NI=(Rev - COGS - Depr - FC - IntExp).(1-t_c )###

Another popular method is to use EBITDA rather than net income. EBITDA is defined as:

###EBITDA=Rev - COGS - FC###

One of the below formulas correctly calculates FFCF from EBITDA, including interest and depreciation tax shields, giving an identical answer to that above. Which formula is correct?

A firm plans to issue equity and use the cash raised to pay off its debt. No assets will be bought or sold. Ignore the costs of financial distress.

Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct, all things remaining equal?

Find Ching-A-Lings Corporation's Cash Flow From Assets (CFFA), also known as Free Cash Flow to the Firm (FCFF), over the year ending 30th June 2013.

Ching-A-Lings Corp | ||

Income Statement for | ||

year ending 30th June 2013 | ||

$m | ||

Sales | 100 | |

COGS | 20 | |

Depreciation | 20 | |

Rent expense | 11 | |

Interest expense | 19 | |

Taxable Income | 30 | |

Taxes at 30% | 9 | |

Net income | 21 | |

Ching-A-Lings Corp | ||

Balance Sheet | ||

as at 30th June | 2013 | 2012 |

$m | $m | |

Inventory | 49 | 38 |

Trade debtors | 14 | 2 |

Rent paid in advance | 5 | 5 |

PPE | 400 | 400 |

Total assets | 468 | 445 |

Trade creditors | 4 | 10 |

Bond liabilities | 200 | 190 |

Contributed equity | 145 | 145 |

Retained profits | 119 | 100 |

Total L and OE | 468 | 445 |

Note: All figures are given in millions of dollars ($m).

The cash flow from assets was:

On his 20th birthday, a man makes a resolution. He will deposit $**30** into a bank account at the **end** of every month starting from now, which is the start of the month. So the first payment will be in one month. He will write in his will that when he dies the money in the account should be given to charity.

The bank account pays interest at **6**% pa compounding **monthly**, which is not expected to change.

If the man lives for another **60** years, how much money will be in the bank account if he dies just after making his last (720th) payment?

You just signed up for a 30 year **fully amortising** mortgage loan with monthly payments of $1,500 per month. The interest rate is 9% pa which is not expected to change.

How much did you borrow? After 10 years, how much will be owing on the mortgage? The interest rate is still 9% and is not expected to change.

You just borrowed $400,000 in the form of a 25 year **interest-only** mortgage with monthly payments of $3,000 per month. The interest rate is 9% pa which is not expected to change.

You actually plan to pay more than the required interest payment. You plan to pay $3,300 in mortgage payments every month, which your mortgage lender allows. These extra payments will reduce the principal and the minimum interest payment required each month.

At the maturity of the mortgage, what will be the principal? That is, after the last (300th) interest payment of $3,300 in 25 years, how much will be owing on the mortgage?

**Question 239** income and capital returns, inflation, real and nominal returns and cash flows, interest only loan

A bank grants a borrower an **interest-only** residential mortgage loan with a very large 50% deposit and a **nominal** interest rate of **6%** that is not expected to change. Assume that inflation is expected to be a **constant 2%** pa over the life of the loan. Ignore credit risk.

From the bank's point of view, what is the long term expected **nominal capital** return of the loan asset?

All things remaining equal, the higher the correlation of returns between two stocks:

A fairly priced stock has an expected return equal to the market's. Treasury bonds yield 5% pa and the market portfolio's expected return is 10% pa. What is the stock's beta?

A stock's correlation with the market portfolio increases while its total risk is unchanged. What will happen to the stock's expected return and systematic risk?

A firm changes its capital structure by issuing a large amount of equity and using the funds to repay debt. Its assets are unchanged. Ignore interest tax shields.

According to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), which statement is correct?

**Question 418** capital budgeting, NPV, interest tax shield, WACC, CFFA, CAPM

Project Data | ||

Project life | 1 year | |

Initial investment in equipment | $8m | |

Depreciation of equipment per year | $8m | |

Expected sale price of equipment at end of project | 0 | |

Unit sales per year | 4m | |

Sale price per unit | $10 | |

Variable cost per unit | $5 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $2m | |

Interest expense in first year (at t=1) | $0.562m | |

Corporate tax rate | 30% | |

Government treasury bond yield | 5% | |

Bank loan debt yield | 9% | |

Market portfolio return | 10% | |

Covariance of levered equity returns with market | 0.32 | |

Variance of market portfolio returns | 0.16 | |

Firm's and project's debt-to-equity ratio |
50% | |

**Notes**

- Due to the project, current assets will increase by $
**6**m now (t=0) and fall by $**6**m at the end (t=1). Current liabilities will not be affected.

**Assumptions**

- The debt-to-equity ratio will be kept constant throughout the life of the project. The amount of interest expense at the end of each period has been correctly calculated to maintain this constant debt-to-equity ratio.
- Millions are represented by 'm'.
- All cash flows occur at the start or end of the year as appropriate, not in the middle or throughout the year.
- All rates and cash flows are real. The inflation rate is 2% pa. All rates are given as effective annual rates.
- The project is undertaken by a firm, not an individual.

What is the net present value (NPV) of the project?

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

**Question 703** utility, risk aversion, utility function, gamble

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Each person has $500 of initial wealth. A coin toss game is offered to each person at a casino where the player can win or lose $500. Each player can flip a coin and if they flip heads, they receive $500. If they flip tails then they will lose $500. Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions. Which of the statements about the 3 utility functions is **NOT** correct?

**Question 699** utility, risk aversion, utility function, gamble

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Each person has $50 of initial wealth. A coin toss game is offered to each person at a casino where the player can win or lose $50. Each player can flip a coin and if they flip heads, they receive $50. If they flip tails then they will lose $50. Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

**Question 700** utility, risk aversion, utility function, gamble

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Each person has $50 of initial wealth. A coin toss game is offered to each person at a casino where the player can win or lose $50. Each player can flip a coin and if they flip heads, they receive $50. If they flip tails then they will lose $50. Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

**Question 702** utility, risk aversion, utility function, gamble

Mr Blue, Miss Red and Mrs Green are people with different utility functions.

Each person has $50 of initial wealth. A coin toss game is offered to each person at a casino where the player can win or lose $50. Each player can flip a coin and if they flip heads, they receive $50. If they flip tails then they will lose $50. Which of the following statements is **NOT** correct?

**Question 119** market efficiency, fundamental analysis, joint hypothesis problem

Your friend claims that by reading 'The Economist' magazine's economic news articles, she can identify shares that will have positive abnormal expected returns over the next 2 years. Assuming that her claim is true, which statement(s) are correct?

(i) Weak form market efficiency is broken.

(ii) Semi-strong form market efficiency is broken.

(iii) Strong form market efficiency is broken.

(iv) The asset pricing model used to measure the abnormal returns (such as the CAPM) is either wrong (mis-specification error) or is measured using the wrong inputs (data errors) so the returns may not be abnormal but rather fair for the level of risk.

Select the most correct response:

**Question 339** bond pricing, inflation, market efficiency, income and capital returns

Economic statistics released this morning were a surprise: they show a strong chance of consumer price inflation (CPI) reaching 5% pa over the next 2 years.

This is much higher than the previous forecast of 3% pa.

A vanilla fixed-coupon 2-year risk-free government bond was issued at **par** this morning, just **before** the economic news was released.

What is the expected change in bond price after the economic news this morning, and in the next 2 years? Assume that:

- Inflation remains at 5% over the next 2 years.
- Investors demand a constant real bond yield.
- The bond price falls by the (after-tax) value of the coupon the night before the ex-coupon date, as in real life.

The efficient markets hypothesis (EMH) and no-arbitrage pricing theory is most closely related to which of the following concepts?

**Question 338** market efficiency, CAPM, opportunity cost, technical analysis

A man inherits $**500,000** worth of shares.

He believes that by learning the secrets of trading, keeping up with the financial news and doing complex trend analysis with charts that he can quit his job and become a self-employed day trader in the equities markets.

What is the expected gain from doing this over the first year? Measure the net gain in wealth received at the end of this first year due to the decision to become a day trader. Assume the following:

- He earns $
**60,000**pa in his current job, paid in a lump sum at the end of each year. - He enjoys examining share price graphs and day trading just as much as he enjoys his current job.
- Stock markets are weak form and semi-strong form efficient.
- He has no inside information.
- He makes
**1**trade every day and there are**250**trading days in the year. Trading costs are $**20**per trade. His broker invoices him for the trading costs at the end of the year. - The shares that he currently owns and the shares that he intends to trade have the same level of systematic risk as the market portfolio.
- The market portfolio's expected return is
**10**% pa.

Measure the **net gain** over the **first** year as an expected wealth increase at the **end** of the year.

A company advertises an investment costing $**1,000** which they say is underpriced. They say that it has an expected total return of **15**% pa, but a required return of only **10**% pa. Assume that there are no dividend payments so the entire 15% total return is all capital return.

Assuming that the company's statements are correct, what is the **NPV** of buying the investment if the 15% return lasts for the next **100** years (t=0 to 100), then reverts to 10% pa after that time? Also, what is the NPV of the investment if the 15% return lasts forever?

In both cases, assume that the required return of 10% remains constant. All returns are given as effective annual rates.

The answer choices below are given in the same order (15% for 100 years, and 15% forever):

A person is thinking about borrowing $100 from the bank at 7% pa and investing it in shares with an expected return of 10% pa. One year later the person will sell the shares and pay back the loan in full. Both the loan and the shares are fairly priced.

What is the Net Present Value (NPV) of this one year investment? Note that you are asked to find the present value (##V_0##), not the value in one year (##V_1##).

A managed fund charges fees based on the amount of money that you keep with them. The fee is **2**% of the **start**-of-year amount, but it is paid at the **end** of every year.

This fee is charged regardless of whether the fund makes gains or losses on your money.

The fund offers to invest your money in shares which have an expected return of **10**% pa before fees.

You are thinking of investing $**100,000** in the fund and keeping it there for **40** years when you plan to retire.

What is the Net Present Value (NPV) of investing your money in the fund? Note that the question is **not** asking how much money you will have in 40 years, it is asking: what is the **NPV** of investing in the fund? Assume that:

- The fund has no private information.
- Markets are weak and semi-strong form efficient.
- The fund's transaction costs are negligible.
- The cost and trouble of investing your money in shares by yourself, without the managed fund, is negligible.

**Question 780** mispriced asset, NPV, DDM, market efficiency, no explanation

A company advertises an investment costing $**1,000** which they say is under priced. They say that it has an expected total return of **15**% pa, but a required return of only **10**% pa. Of the **15**% pa total expected return, the dividend yield is expected to be **4**% pa and the capital yield **11**% pa. Assume that the company's statements are correct.

What is the NPV of buying the investment if the 15% total return lasts for the next 100 years (t=0 to 100), then reverts to 10% after that time? Also, what is the NPV of the investment if the 15% return lasts forever?

In both cases, assume that the required return of 10% remains constant, the dividends can only be re-invested at 10% pa and all returns are given as effective annual rates. The answer choices below are given in the same order (15% for 100 years, and 15% forever):

A company advertises an investment costing $**1,000** which they say is underpriced. They say that it has an expected total return of **15**% pa, but a required return of only **10**% pa. Of the **15**% pa total expected return, the dividend yield is expected to always be **7**% pa and rest is the capital yield.

Assuming that the company's statements are correct, what is the NPV of buying the investment if the **15**% total return lasts for the next 100 years (t=0 to 100), then reverts to **10**% after that time? Also, what is the NPV of the investment if the 15% return lasts forever?

In both cases, assume that the required return of 10% remains constant, the dividends can only be re-invested at **10**% pa and all returns are given as effective annual rates.

The answer choices below are given in the same order (15% for 100 years, and 15% forever):

A company announces that it will pay a dividend, as the market expected. The company's shares trade on the stock exchange which is open from 10am in the morning to 4pm in the afternoon each weekday. When would the share price be expected to fall by the amount of the dividend? Ignore taxes.

The share price is expected to fall during the:

Currently, a mining company has a share price of $6 and pays constant annual dividends of $0.50. The next dividend will be paid in 1 year. Suddenly and unexpectedly the mining company announces that due to higher than expected profits, all of these windfall profits will be paid as a special dividend of $0.30 in 1 year.

If investors believe that the windfall profits and dividend is a one-off event, what will be the new share price? If investors believe that the additional dividend is actually permanent and will continue to be paid, what will be the new share price? Assume that the required return on equity is unchanged. Choose from the following, where the first share price includes the one-off increase in earnings and dividends for the first year only ##(P_\text{0 one-off})## , and the second assumes that the increase is permanent ##(P_\text{0 permanent})##:

Note: When a firm makes excess profits they sometimes pay them out as special dividends. Special dividends are just like ordinary dividends but they are one-off and investors do not expect them to continue, unlike ordinary dividends which are expected to persist.

**Question 568** rights issue, capital raising, capital structure

A company conducts a **1** for **5** rights issue at a subscription price of $**7** when the pre-announcement stock price was $**10**. What is the percentage change in the stock price and the number of shares outstanding? The answers are given in the same order. Ignore all taxes, transaction costs and signalling effects.

**Question 721** mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate

Fred owns some Commonwealth Bank (CBA) shares. He has calculated CBA’s monthly returns for each month in the past 20 years using this formula:

###r_\text{t monthly}=\ln \left( \dfrac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} \right)###He then took the arithmetic average and found it to be **1**% per month using this formula:

He also found the standard deviation of these monthly returns which was **5**% per month:

Which of the below statements about Fred’s CBA shares is **NOT** correct? Assume that the past historical average return is the true population average of future expected returns.

Find the cash flow from assets (CFFA) of the following project.

Project Data | ||

Project life | 2 years | |

Initial investment in equipment | $8m | |

Depreciation of equipment per year for tax purposes | $3m | |

Unit sales per year | 10m | |

Sale price per unit | $9 | |

Variable cost per unit | $4 | |

Fixed costs per year, paid at the end of each year | $2m | |

Tax rate | 30% | |

Note 1: Due to the project, the firm will have to purchase $40m of inventory initially (at t=0). Half of this inventory will be sold at t=1 and the other half at t=2.

Note 2: The equipment will have a book value of $2m at the end of the project for tax purposes. However, the equipment is expected to fetch $1m when it is sold. Assume that the full capital loss is tax-deductible and taxed at the full corporate tax rate.

Note 3: The project will be fully funded by equity which investors will expect to pay dividends totaling $10m at the end of each year.

Find the project's CFFA at time zero, one and two. Answers are given in millions of dollars ($m).

The 'time value of money' is most closely related to which of the following concepts?

A company conducts a **10** for **3** stock split. What is the percentage increase in the stock price and the number of shares outstanding? The answers are given in the same order.

Let the 'income return' of a bond be the coupon at the end of the period divided by the market price now at the start of the period ##(C_1/P_0)##. The expected income return of a **premium** fixed coupon bond is:

Which of the following statements about yield curves is **NOT** correct?

**Question 772** interest tax shield, capital structure, leverage

A firm issues debt and uses the funds to buy back equity. Assume that there are no costs of financial distress or transactions costs. Which of the following statements about interest tax shields is **NOT** correct?

The market's expected total return is **10**% pa and the risk free rate is **5**% pa, both given as effective annual rates.

A stock has a beta of **0.5**.

In the last 5 minutes, the federal government unexpectedly raised taxes. Over this time the share market fell by **3**%. The risk free rate was unchanged.

What do you think was the stock's historical return over the last 5 minutes, given as an effective 5 minute rate?

**Question 779** mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate

Fred owns some BHP shares. He has calculated BHP’s monthly returns for each month in the past 30 years using this formula:

###r_\text{t monthly}=\ln \left( \dfrac{P_t}{P_{t-1}} \right)###He then took the arithmetic average and found it to be **0.8**% per month using this formula:

He also found the standard deviation of these monthly returns which was **15**% per month:

Assume that the past historical average return is the true population average of future expected returns and the stock's returns calculated above ##(r_\text{t monthly})## are normally distributed. Which of the below statements about Fred’s BHP shares is **NOT** correct?

If a project's net present value (NPV) is zero, then its internal rate of return (IRR) will be:

A managed fund charges fees based on the amount of money that you keep with them. The fee is **2**% of the **end**-of-year amount, paid at the **end** of every year.

This fee is charged regardless of whether the fund makes gains or losses on your money.

The fund offers to invest your money in shares which have an expected return of **10%** pa before fees.

You are thinking of investing $**100,000** in the fund and keeping it there for **40** years when you plan to retire.

How much money do you expect to have in the fund in 40 years? Also, what is the future value of the fees that the fund expects to earn from you? Give both amounts as future values in 40 years. Assume that:

- The fund has no private information.
- Markets are weak and semi-strong form efficient.
- The fund's transaction costs are negligible.
- The cost and trouble of investing your money in shares by yourself, without the managed fund, is negligible.
- The fund invests its fees in the same companies as it invests your funds in, but with no fees.

The below answer choices list your expected wealth in 40 years and then the fund's expected wealth in 40 years.

An effective **semi-annual** return of 5% ##(r_\text{eff 6mth})## is equivalent to an effective **annual** return ##(r_\text{eff annual})## of:

**Question 723** mean and median returns, return distribution, arithmetic and geometric averages, continuously compounding rate

Here is a table of stock prices and returns. Which of the statements below the table is **NOT** correct?

Price and Return Population Statistics |
||||

Time | Prices | LGDR | GDR | NDR |

0 | 100 | |||

1 | 99 | -0.010050 | 0.990000 | -0.010000 |

2 | 180.40 | 0.600057 | 1.822222 | 0.822222 |

3 | 112.73 | 0.470181 | 0.624889 | 0.375111 |

Arithmetic average | 0.0399 | 1.1457 | 0.1457 | |

Arithmetic standard deviation | 0.4384 | 0.5011 | 0.5011 | |